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I have an idea for a fantasy football experiment looking at three different areas of the draft. These three areas are the position of each pick and how often and what value are trades.

I have dug through the literature and have only found a couple of papers about this topic. I was wondering if anybody has heard of this vetting done before or any ideas on how to make this idea more concrete. If it is to vague I can explain it more later on.

Thank you for all of your help guys


A little more information, the paper will look at level k play in regard to fantasy football and the implementations of this paper is to ultimately either to help companies learn how to players play and develop a better drafting system and a more ok intelligent player pool. Think of it of this way: is crowd mentality in ranking better than one's own ranking system?

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I think your assuming that your going to have someone answer who knows something about fantasy football and economics, which - given the current site size - is not likely. To get some more feedback I suggest you make it more specific what your looking for. – Lasse Feb 16 '15 at 12:14
Soccerman makes a good point. That said, I'm an economist (well, in training anyway) and an avid fantasy football player. One of my research projects stemmed from a fantasy football question -- comparing efficiency and other properties of assignment mechanisms (i.e. drafting, auctions, etc.) and trying to develop an alternative. You won't find a lot of published papers on fantasy football, but a lot of the questions in fantasy football are more universal and important. As it is though, your idea is not specific enough to really provide much feedback. What is the goal of your planned analysis? – Shane Feb 16 '15 at 13:44
I just edited the post you too. I would love your critics of it – user4318524 Feb 16 '15 at 14:35
That's a step in the right direction. Can you explain how you would implement a Level K model in a draft? That environment is far more complicated than the beauty contest in which I'm used to seeing Level K reasoning demonstrated. Is your ultimate goal to develop a better drafting system? Or a "more OK intelligent player pool" (I'm not sure what that means, incidentally)? – Shane Feb 16 '15 at 15:05
One further clarification. May I ask where you are from and in what context you hope to carry out this research? I think that's very pertinent to the design. – Shane Feb 16 '15 at 15:08

Your question is long and unclear. I suggest editing it to get a better response. I hope you do because I think it has good potential.

I am able to help with one element of the question.

"is crowd mentality in ranking better than one's own ranking system?" The answer to this really depends on what your own ranking system is. The Wisdom of the Crowd is pretty good at this sort of stuff. That said, I think there is definitely room in something like fantasy football to beat the crowd generated rankings.

I find when I am looking for a probabilistic outcome on something like that, a bookmakers site should be one of the first ports of call.

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