There has been a lot of talk about a big pending financial crash due to the slowing global economy, low interest rates, rising debt levels, etc. Now I'm wondering:
Has anyone done any analysis to predict exactly when the next big crash / credit crunch will be?
Specifically, what indicators have analysts been tracking to predict when the next crash will happen? Has anyone agreed or suggested what will be the critical thresholds, and/or likely trigger(s)?
Ideally I am looking for some measure of systemic risk which effectively gauges how unsustainable a system is, or rather, how long an economic system can be sustained before it is likely to collapse.
I have made my own analysis and prediction based on long-term trends in slowing growth vs rising debt, but has anyone done this kind of analysis before?
Slowing growth: http://bit.ly/1IbPZam
Rising debt: http://bit.ly/1N94886