I'm a masters student looking for a thesis topic. Please note, I'm studying Finance and whilst the econometrics component of my course is rather lacking when compared to a straight Econometrics degree, thanks to the internet there is a vast wealth of resources out there for me to try and grasp it on my own - with some friendly help along the way of course :)
I'd like to use the thesis as an opportunity to learn a new regression model. Specifically GARCH models used to forecast volatility.
As I understand it, the GARCH-MIDAS model (as described by Engle et. al 2013) can and has been used with daily stock return data and macroeconomic data (typically quarterly or monthly) to produce volatility forecasts that contain both long and short-run components. The GARCH model encompasses the mean-reverting short-run fluctuations in volatility, whilst the MIDAS component captures the long-run effects.
This is what I gather from briefly looking over the paper late last night. Any corrections are welcome!
In terms of time-series experience, I can implement AR, ARDL, VAR and VECM models. I have never used ARCH, GARCH, or any of their variations; though as I said I would really like to learn.
I guess all I am asking is whether this is feasible option for me as a student with no formal teaching, but a desire to learn by himself. If so, can anyone point me to some books with practical expositions of the GARCH and MIDAS regression methods? I presume an understanding in each method separately would greatly aid combining the two.
Your thoughts and opinions would be greatly appreciated!