# Effect of prediction of later catastrophe

Say a catastrophic worldwide event is predicted likely for exactly 100 years from now, but it will not affect anyone til then. Say a large meteor hit.

Would markets budge much?

My only relevant observation is governments tend to invest in the future, but begrudgingly. (Climate change). So there will be some money in disaster aversion etc.

A. The meteor will hit in 100 years. In the first 2 years, we developed a solution to it all, and everyone is convinced it will work. Will markets budge much? Probably not much afterward. Depending on the cost of the solution (\$1 million vs. \$10 trillion) markets may have moved.
Overall, the biggest factor is humanities belief in their future. You can start by modeling the distribution of humanity that believes we will exist for $$t$$ more years. This now gets into probability theory.