The argument I have seen is that since restaurants closed, demand for food is down. I understand how demand being suddenly lower could disrupt supply. What I don't understand is why demand is down. I mean, people still need to eat just as much as they did before the coronavirus. What is going on here?
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$\begingroup$ I'll try to make this an answer later if I have time but here's some reading from the World Bank, Healthline, the FDA and the NY Times. $\endgroup$– Brian ZMay 19, 2020 at 19:25
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2$\begingroup$ Short answer might be, it's not causing a general food shortage (at least not yet) but it's causing all kinds of changes in the pattern of demand, changes in the supply of labor, etc. which are disrupting supplies chains. Fall in demand for particular kinds of food purchased by restaurants aren't causing shortages so much as the associated increase in other kinds of food purchased at the supermarket. Similar to toilet paper $\endgroup$– Brian ZMay 19, 2020 at 19:31
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1$\begingroup$ The title says that there is a food shortage - which implies that demand exceeds supply - but the question says that demand is down. This should be fixed. $\endgroup$– Brian RomanchukMay 20, 2020 at 12:52
1 Answer
This question is too open-ended, as it does not even specify a country. There are a number of issues that have shown up. These comments are based on my reading of news stories, and arguably not authoritative.
- Logistics have been disrupted, putting shipping, planting, and harvesting at risk. This is a worry for countries that are dependent upon food imports.
- Some countries have put into place export restrictions (as a results of the previous concern).
- In the developed countries, a significant portion of eating is at restaurants. The supply chain for restaurants is different than grocery stores. There are two issues: people eat different foods at home than restaurants (The example I heard was that most fish is eaten at restaurants in the United States, so there is a surplus of fish.) People have more time, and are baking more now than even during the seasonal peak at Christmas. In addition to the supply chains being different, the sizing and labelling is different (e.g. nutritional information must be displayed on grocery store food, and so a waiver had to be given to allow food without such labels to be sold). Flour is sold in 80 pound bags to restaurants, and households cannot work with such bags. (At my store in Canada, flour is being sold in small generic plastic bags.)