1
$\begingroup$

I've been looking around for some per-country estimation of the expected GDP drop due to the COVID pandemic.

I've found this answer in this site but it only mentions a few countries. I understand not all countries will have such an estimation, but maybe for the G20 or similar groups?

$\endgroup$
1
$\begingroup$

There are some cross-country studies but not that many of them yet. For example, Maliszewska, M., Mattoo, A., & Van Der Mensbrugghe, D. (2020) from world bank provide some cross-country estimates of the cumulative effect of covid-19 for various countries and regions across the world. Their estimated cumulative effect of covid on GDP (measured as deviation from their benchmark) is shown below.

enter image description here

However, I would advise to take these results with a pinch of salt. These are preliminary estimates that were published in April and better ones will be fore sure forthcoming in near future.

$\endgroup$
2
  • $\begingroup$ Thank you very much! What does the "amplified" colum mean? $\endgroup$ – Gabriel Aug 9 '20 at 16:46
  • 1
    $\begingroup$ @Gabriel those are different scenarios of how bad the pandemic will be - amplified is a scenario under which pandemic will be worse than in the “standard” pandemic scenario in first column. Authors also explain in greater detail how the scenarios differ in the paper itself $\endgroup$ – 1muflon1 Aug 9 '20 at 16:48

Your Answer

By clicking “Post Your Answer”, you agree to our terms of service, privacy policy and cookie policy

Not the answer you're looking for? Browse other questions tagged or ask your own question.