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There are many articles (e.g. from "The Economist" news magazine 07.10.2021) that establish partial links among the high gas/electricity prices, lack of supply of energy resources and the ongoing implementation of green policies that prohibit the use of fossil fuels (like oil and coals) and increases the carbon prices in carbon exchanges. It seems to me that such inflation and scarcity effects come as surprise to the policy makers and central banks although the policy makers had to make the simulations and models of the impact of their policies and had to determine whether the speed of phasing out the fossil fuels will be in accord to the speed of introduction of the green energy sources. The overall impression is that the policy makers have not made such simulations and instead they relied that market forces will avoid or solve all the problems. The energy prices are tolerable.

The food prices are not tolerable. My question is - are the models and simulations that guide the policymakers who have to decide about the speed of introduction and support of green and biological farming? Is there research and models that confirm that current pace of green and biological agricultural reforms will not lead (is slow enough for safe transition) to the shortages the similar ones to the current energy shortages because of inconsistent and unprepared green transition?

Are the some prominent review papers? Are there some specific keywords and term by which I can find such research, models and simulations?

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    $\begingroup$ A google search on "economic effect of banning pesticide" looks promising. $\endgroup$ Oct 10 at 21:24

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