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In January 2015 oxfam allegedly published this graph: enter image description here

Q: I'd like to see how that projection held up, by getting the updated data with a comparable methodology.

Here is the original document https://s3.amazonaws.com/oxfam-us/www/static/media/files/Wealth_Having_it_all_and_wanting_more.pdf

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    $\begingroup$ can you please share link to the report published by Oxfam? Otherwise it is impossible to know what methodology they used just from the picture, most inequality datasets do not even have data on global wealth inequality, such as world inequality dataset as large number of countries do not even have data on wealth, in most countries wealth is untaxed, and there are no good ways of accurately measuring wealth it in many poor countries, so at best even 2010-2013 data must have been some estimates $\endgroup$
    – 1muflon1
    Commented Oct 19, 2021 at 11:12
  • $\begingroup$ @1muflon1 sure, I edited. I'd just expected it to be googled, you do "top 1% wealth" in google image, and you'll see that all graphs returned by the search stops in 2014. Like if public interest had moved on since then. $\endgroup$
    – v.oddou
    Commented Oct 20, 2021 at 2:11

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Here is the last chart of the 2021 global wealth report of Credit Suise from which Oxfam got their data.

enter image description here

From this, it is clear to see that there is not so much a trend for the top 1% (although the level of 45% is still high). The estimate of 2021 is around 45% which is way below the forecast of 54%.

The figure that you show is highly misleading.

To be fair, Oxfam also gives a longer history in their figure 1:

enter image description here

From this figure they extrapolate a trend using only the last 4 years. Basically the last upward portion of the curve. If they would have taken a longer time series to forecast, their prediction would have been much lower.

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  • $\begingroup$ That's cool thank you. Now I suspect they purposely zoomed between 40 and 60%, and never updated post 2014 to feed conspiracy sentiment and pathos among readers. $\endgroup$
    – v.oddou
    Commented Oct 21, 2021 at 5:05

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