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Could we create a tax that automatically toggles on or off depending on the state of the economy taking into consideration that the revenues would be saved for further use, either to stimulate the economy when it’s bad, or if it becomes too big, use some of the money to reduce the debt?

This tax could be used instead of raising interest rates or at the same time. Furthermore it could be used to target a certain sector.

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  • $\begingroup$ Just as a clarification point as LlamaBricks's answer is good, tax revenue can't be "saved for further use". Currency is a tax credit which when returned to the governement is deleted. $\endgroup$ Oct 11 at 13:58

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It is very difficult to say what the state of the economy is at at a given point in time so it is difficult to create conditions that would serve as an on/off switch for a certain tax.

There are what are called "automatic stabilisers", however, which act in a way similar to what you described.

The marginal income tax is actually an example of an automatic stabiliser. If the economy is doing well as measured by an increase in nominal wages, the proportion of an individuals income that goes to paying off tax will be increased, which slows down economic growth.

On the other side of this, there are welfare payments which function as automatic stabilisers when the economy is not doing so well. People with low income tend to spend a greater proportion of their income than those who have a higher income, so when the economy is doing poorly and unemployment rises, more people get welfare and they spend a large amount of their welfare payments, stimulating the economy.

Depending on who you ask, it may be a bad idea to tax specific sectors as that will distort the market.

Further, it might prove dangerous to spring taxes on people and businesses if the economy is "too good", this could disrupt planning by businesses as their plans may be dependent on a given rate of tax.

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  • $\begingroup$ The Marginal Income tax and the welfare payments maybe automatic stabilisers, but I don't think this is enough. They don't help our governments to reduce the debt, but they still need to pour money in times of crisis, be they financial or environmental. $\endgroup$ Oct 11 at 12:17
  • $\begingroup$ You wrote:"It is very difficult to say what the state of the economy is at at a given point in time" I don't agree with this as we have monthly reports on inflation, on spending and on employment. $\endgroup$ Oct 11 at 15:08
  • $\begingroup$ Why is it "not enough". You assume all the government's resources are efficiently allocated already. Consider contradictory gov. expenditures such as fossil fuel subsidies and agencies to reduce emissions. One gov. spend offsets another. There are countless more examples of gov. wasting money. Gov could gradually pay off the debt if they stopped wasting money. 2nd in my opinion, the gov should drastically reduce taxes. You wouldnt advocate increasing tax in a recession. Taxes stifle growth when not in recession anyways and both in easy and hard times they should be reduced. $\endgroup$ Oct 11 at 22:28
  • $\begingroup$ There is a problem with your assessment. We need to differentiate between the legislative process and societies needs, thus the needs of citizens. If you want to solve the problems you mentioned, we need to get the money out of the electoral process and get rid of political parties as they often undo what the previous political party in power as done. $\endgroup$ Oct 11 at 23:47
  • $\begingroup$ You wrote: " You wouldn't advocate increasing tax in a recession". Of course not. But if people are accustomed to pay 2% sale tax and they are reduced to 1% or 0 %, they would have more money to spend, and they would feel that the system is responding well to their needs. Furthermore, since the revenues from this tax would have been put in a fund, governments could use this money to stimulate the economy. Since we would already have this money, it would not negatively affect the budget. $\endgroup$ Oct 12 at 0:07
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Could we create a tax that automatically toggles on or off depending on the state of the economy taking into consideration that the revenues would be saved for further use, either to stimulate the economy when it’s bad, or if it becomes too big, use some of the money to reduce the debt?

It is trivially true that such tax can be created by government. Government only needs to specify thresholds for values of GDP or unemployment or other parameters at which tax triggers or turns off.

The only problem here is that most macroeconomic data are reported with a quarter or half year lag.

Would it work?

Depends, how you define "work". Such tax would almost certainly create large distortions. You do not specify what type of tax we are talking about. For example some random dividend income tax triggers during expansion, corporations would just postpone paying dividends until recession. If we talk about VAT people would likewise postpone some purchases.

This kind of behavior is both creating deadweight loss to the economy and eroding the tax base for such tax. Hence such tax will create relatively large distortions whereas rising little revenue.

Lastly lets circle back to the point:

revenues would be saved for further use, either to stimulate the economy when it’s bad, or if it becomes too big, use some of the money to reduce the debt

Nothing prevents government from using revenues from regular taxes in this way. You don't need to invent new esoteric modes of taxation. Government can consolidate taxes just by rising regular taxes or curbing spending. If government does not have enough political will to do it with regular taxes then this won't help.

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  • $\begingroup$ You wrote: "macroeconomic data are reported with a quarter or half year lag" We do receive monthly. The Federal Reserve meet each month. As for the type of tax, it would be a sales tax. $\endgroup$ Oct 12 at 12:45
  • $\begingroup$ You wrote: This kind of behavior is both creating deadweight loss to the economy and eroding the tax base for such tax. And you think that the increase in mortgage payment for a home owner, increase in interest payment on the debt and the increase in the debt of government does not create deadweight loss? $\endgroup$ Oct 12 at 12:50
  • $\begingroup$ You wrote: "Nothing prevents government from using revenues from regular taxes in this way. That would be true only if the revenues are higher than the spending. Otherwise it increases the debt. $\endgroup$ Oct 12 at 12:55
  • $\begingroup$ @DenisPageau-Sociétalogue 1. sure they meet each month but they do not have crystal ball. If we do not have data on unemployment then you cannot condition the tax on unemployment. If you want to just condition the tax on their subjective feeling that would violate the principle of central bank independence, and central bankers are not really known for good track record of predicting economy's performance (but then nobody really has a good track record on that). $\endgroup$
    – 1muflon1
    Oct 12 at 13:06
  • $\begingroup$ 2. "And you think that the increase in mortgage payment for a home owner, increase in interest payment on the debt and the increase in the debt of government does not create deadweight loss" <- nope why would that create deadweight loss? This doesn't drive wedge between marginal private benefit and marginal private costs, taxes do. Not to say that it might not have negative effect on people affected by this interest rate increase, but taxes have negative effect on the people who pay taxes + deadweight loss on top of it (save for special cases) $\endgroup$
    – 1muflon1
    Oct 12 at 13:08

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