Questions tagged [business-cycles]

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Kiyotaki-Moore v.s. Bernanke-Gertler-Gilchrist - what's the difference?

What are the key differences between (i) a model which features a "Kiyotaki-Moore collateral constraint"; and (ii) a model which incorporates a "financial accelerator" (a la Bernanke-Gertler-Gilchrist)...
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23 views

Are there times when firms compete more with each other?

I have the impression that sometimes firms are fiercely competing with each other, innovating and trying to gain market share and other times when firms are just hanging on. Are there any references ...
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53 views

Separation shock and business cycles

In the context of the Diamonds-Mortensen-Pissarides models, there was a reasoning why a separation shock cannot fit business cycles. I think it was brought forward by Shimer, but I could be wrong. ...
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23 views

Is Hodrick-Prescott filter optimal with irregular component?

I need to extract cyclical component from time series, when doing seasonal adjustment I have the option to remove, apart from seasonal component, the irregular component. Then I'll apply HP to the ...
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22 views

Stabilizing Property of a Taylor Rule

Considering the New Keynesian Model we have the Phillips curve and dynamic IS curve in log-linearized form with price shock $u^{\pi}$ and demand shock $u^{IS}$ :$$\pi_t=\beta E_t\pi_{t+1}+\kappa(y_t-...
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42 views

What is the best measure for the world's economic cycle?

I'm trying to make a graph that shows how the return of major assets (S&P 500 index, % of 3Y T-notes, oil, gold, etc) move along with the world's expansion& recession cycle. I looked into ...
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7 views

Implications for Labour after a Productivity Shock, RBC Model

I am trying to understand the implication for labour after a one time productivity shock where $A_t$ follows a AR (1) process with persistence $\rho_A=0.95$. It is stated the following : labour ...
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18 views

New Keynesian Model Output Gap and Calibration

I am trying to solve following problem regarding the New Keynesian Model: So, I have calculated following equations by using the Taylor Rule, Phillips Curve and IS Curve: $$\pi=\frac{\kappa\phi_y}{(1-...
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1answer
55 views

extensive vs intensive labor in US in recent decades

Total Hours worked is a mix of extensive (to work or not, the usual standard working week) and intensive (how many hours to work). I'm interested in how this balance of extensive and intensive ...
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2answers
112 views

Inflation leads to loss of gold reserves

I am reading Murray's Rothbard "What has government done to our money?" and this is his reasoning for inflation leading to loss of gold reserves to other countries (assuming everyone is on ...
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52 views

Lack of historical data for calibration of probability of default

It is a known fact that default rates seem to exhibit cyclic behavior. Most probability of default models use one-year averages of default rates to calibrate the models. The one-year averages should ...
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1answer
51 views

Is there a change over the business cycle in how much of economic activity is market-based?

Out of the total production in an economy, a big part is market-based, as when you make something and sell it. But a big part is not, as when you make something and don't sell it, but exchange it or ...
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15 views

Cyclicality of Inflation and Price Level

Why is price level in general considered to be countercyclical while inflation is generally considered to be procyclical? Thank you!
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14 views

Best method for extracting cycle component of time series

I have macroeconomic time series data, including both quantity and proportion variables (i.e. aggregate consumption, unemployment rate, etc.). I want to work with the rawest version of the data, ...
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16 views

Increase in money supply when price are flexible in the basic new keynesian model

I would like to know what would be the effect on price and quantities of an increase in money supply in the basic new keyensian model. What happen if price are fully flexible ? What if prices are ...
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48 views

GDP and business cycles

So the blue line is Finlands GDP, and it tells the percentual change from the last year. when the line is under 0% does it mean that it is a recession, and when it is over 0% is it an expansion? Is it ...
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19 views

Inequality and recessions

I was reading about Marx's Crisis Theory. On one hand, there is this idea of the falling surplus. But on the other hand, he relates income inequality to the business cycle. Have his ideas regarding ...
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1answer
72 views

Causality: Money supply and prices

When there is an increase in price level, real money supply decreases and raises interest rates. In a similar situation, when money supply decreases, interest rates increases, consumption decreases, ...