Questions tagged [causality]

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7
votes
2answers
299 views

When can economists claim to “understand” an event or phenomenon?

It's a common refrain that economists still don't have a solid grasp of the causes of business cycles (in particular, the Great Depression), despite decades of serious study. What would it take to say ...
7
votes
1answer
65 views

How time zones affects causality?

Considering that markets open in different time zones, in general the opening and closing times are different. I suppose that a stock market opening later (in the same day) receive information on the ...
3
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4answers
344 views

The relation between econometrics and machine learning

In my understanding the utility of econometrics versus machine learning is generally argued to be the research of causality. If I'm not wrong, when we put aside experimental economics, the golden ...
3
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1answer
75 views

Does mathematical education imply a better salary?

In some sense this is a follow-up to Correlation between salary level and housing prices in a town There I was reminded to ask for causality, not correlation. I am interested in the causal effect of ...
3
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1answer
67 views

Looking for discussion on equilibrium vs dynamic models in econometrics

I'm a statistician/machine learning scientist more familiar with molecular bio than economics. Trying to find out if an issue I perceive in bio modeling also occurs in econometric modeling. A common ...
3
votes
1answer
42 views

I'm studying the effect of a law on a sector: how do I select the control group?

I'm planning on using a regression discontinuity design (RDD) to estimate the impact of a sector-specific law on the firms in that sector. I need to create a control group and I have read somewhere in ...
2
votes
1answer
55 views

Group contamination in Regression Discontinuity

I'm an undergraduate student I have an empirical question regarding Regression Discontinuity and Diff-in-Diff methods. I'm currently evaluating the impact on fertility of a Conditional Cash Transfer ...
2
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0answers
77 views

Difference-in-differences with long time horizon and repeated treatments

I have a high-frequency panel dataset on the order of $i=150$ and $t=5000$. I am interested in studying the causal impact of a treatment with the following characteristics: The same unit can be ...
2
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0answers
71 views

Professors Salary vs Alumni Earning: is the relation causal?

Elyase İskender posted in his blog an interesting plot correlating Professors Salary and Alumni Earnings Relation in US Universities. Is there a good way to establish causality here? Did the highest ...
1
vote
1answer
45 views

Justification for my Random Effects estimation

I need to defend my use of the Random Effects (RE) estimator in my economics project. I've been told in cross validated that the proper place for the question is here. The causal effect of the ...
1
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0answers
46 views

How will Coronavirus affect Social Security solvency?

The Coronavirus (known by younger millennials as the "Boomer Plague") is estimated to have a cost of life between 100,000 - 240,000 Americans. According to the CDC approximately 80% of deaths ...
1
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0answers
16 views

One Treated Unit That Becomes Untreated

Suppose I have a set of units $n_i, i = 1,...,N$. One unit was receiving a treatment $n_j = 1$ at times $t=1$ to $t=\tau$. All other units never received the treatment so $\forall t, n_i=0,i\neq j$. ...
1
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0answers
142 views

Difference in Regression Discontinuity Estimates

Suppose I run a regression discontinuity design (RDD) for two different samples - say, separately for regions A and B of the same country. I get RDD estimates that are statistically significant in ...
1
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0answers
37 views

Partial least square structural equation modeling

The Partial least square structural equation modeling (PLS-PM, PLS-SEM) method to structural equation modeling allows estimating complex cause-effect relationship models with latent variables. This ...
0
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1answer
37 views

Estimating causal effect for educated people on wages

I have a problem regarding causation and effect. I have a linear model $ wage=\beta_0+\beta_1educ+\beta_2female+\beta_3hourseworked+errorterm$ When I need to estimate the causal effect for educated ...
0
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2answers
32 views

causal time series analysis economics

I want to analyse the relationship between the level of globalization,and the level of income inequality between two specific countries. however, I'm quite lost as to which method is good to use (in ...
0
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1answer
51 views

Stock return predictability. Why do papers continue to use Granger Causality tests

There is a long literature on stock return predicabtility. When I read papers I see lots of authors still using granger causality tests. It is still prominently taught in undergrad and grad classess....
0
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0answers
20 views

Controlling for pre-treatment trends in diff-in-diff regression

I am trying to control for pre-treatment trends in my DiD style regression. My baseline regression is as follows (using Stata): ...
0
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0answers
39 views

Causal Interpretation of $\beta_1$ with a Dummy explanatory variable

Suppose you run a regression (over the entire sample) of hourly earnings $Y$ with an intercept and a binary variable $D$, where $D$ takes on a value of $1$ if the individual has a college degree and $...
0
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0answers
11 views

Where to find a list of U.S. policy changes for causal studies?

I'm currently trying to figure how the topic of my paper, which is supposed to be related to policy evaluation (causal inference). I thought it would be great if I could first obtain a list of recent ...
0
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2answers
97 views

How to estimate loss of customers due to customer support inefficiency?

I have a data about customers and their activity on a website for a two-year period. Also, I have a customer support work evaluation data for a shorter period of that two-year period. The question is: ...