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Questions tagged [economic-growth]

An increase over time in the quantity of goods and services produced within an economy.

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0answers
12 views

Total factor productivity persistence

Would it make a difference whether a decrease in total factor productivity z on the labor, goods, and money market is persistent? (That is, whether decreased productivity today also is predictive of ...
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33 views

Modeling market growth, without compound interest or regression

I am working on predicting the growth of a certain market. Traditionally, this is done through a simple compound interest model: $$ ThisYear'sMarket * (1 + g)^n $$ What would be a better way to ...
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16 views

Why was reform of Chinese State owned enterprises needed? [on hold]

Why was reform of Chinese SOE needed in the mid-1990s? And how did the government go about implementing these reforms? I've read a bunch of texts on this stuff, but a high-level explanation would put ...
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2answers
66 views

Question on Central bank loss function interpretation

How do you interpret this central bank’s loss function: $$L(\hat x, \pi)=\alpha \hat{x}^2+(\pi-\pi^T)^2$$ where $\alpha >0$ and $\hat x$ is output gap. Phillips curve is $\pi = \theta \hat{x}+\...
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1answer
45 views

Are there economic models that predict (only) a medium/long-term negative effect of protectionism?

Going by some ECB models/estimates from last year, protectionism would result in negative consequences pretty fast, e.g. For illustration, I will use the results of simulations carried out by ECB ...
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1answer
43 views

Does migration exacerbate (albeit delay) the problem of aging, economically-inactive populations in Western societies?

As a layman, I've always understood that there is a general consensus amongst economists that "immigration is economically beneficial" to rich Western countries (like Britain) who have aging ...
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Are there any net benefits in reducing/increasing tourist-oriented retail business?

Hong Kong is currently experiencing a slump in foreign tourist-oriented retail sales. Shops selling jewellery, watches, infant formula or Chinese medicine experienced a 25-35% decline YoY in August. ...
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1answer
232 views

Does everyone prosper through development projects?

Why don't all investors focus their intentions on development projects in less developed countries? Wouldn't this benefit all parties since the recipient country would be more developed and the ...
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46 views

Neoclassical Economic Growth Model Shadow Price for Discrete vs Continuous Time

I recently learned about the neoclassical growth model in both discrete and continuous time. The intuitive meaning of the shadow price for both cases is that it represents the value of one additional ...
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1answer
56 views

What is the upper limit of circulating money on earth?

I've come up with this question while discussing the topic of customer-perceived value with coworker. Is there a theoretical upper limit to all circulating money in this world? To avoid inflation ...
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4k views

Larry Summers on the causes of secular stagnation

In an influential speech on November 8, 2013 at the IMF Annual Research Conference, Larry Summers suggested that slow economic growth in the years following the 2007–2008 financial crisis might be due ...
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5answers
323 views

The economics of a “no deal” Brexit

A "no deal" Brexit is presented in negative terms. In such a scenario the UK would set tariff schedules in line with trade strategy and protect domestic industry/agriculture with tariff rate quotas. ...
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21 views

Link between recession and decline in investments

I recently followed MIT online lectures for economy and I found this - one of the reason for investments decline in recession is bad expectations about economy -----> leading to Higher capital output ...
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18 views

Investments during recession

During Recession, banks loans decrease which leads to financial constraints and ultimately Investment suffers and declines. my question is - "Are loans lower because of demand or supply?" My ...
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2answers
28 views

what can be the proxy variable for measure of product innovation?

My objective is to prove that international trade leads human capital formation which leads to economic growth. I am regressing GDP on multiple variables among which Human capital is one. According to ...
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2answers
50 views

How does domestic demand affect the domestic currency's value

If an economy grows, due to a tax reduction for example, how does that affect the exchange rate? My logic would be that reduced taxes put more money into people's pockets, which they then use to buy ...
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1answer
220 views

Labour-saving vs. Labour-augmenting technical change

I've read a number of posts on the above topic but none refers to published empirical papers. Google searches have been hopeless. Does anyone know of any paper on empirical derivation of technical ...
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1answer
40 views

Can't we measure the growth in the income levels of poor?

Inflation has been a challenging aspect of policymaking. In such situations growth in the income levels of the population living below the poverty level can never be measured accurately (due to ...
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Why growth of national income in current prices during inflation not measured in poor sections and poverty alleviation programs?

Here 1) dwindles means reduce, smaller. Here is my doubt: If inflation fluctuates how can we use the word 'dwindles', what it means here? 2) Why the growth rate during inflation not measured in poor ...
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1answer
25 views

Derive the growth rate of an equation

I have the following equation: $$\mu =\left [s_{\pi }-v(s_{\pi }-s_{W})+\zeta \right ]$$ And I have to derive its growth rate, which is: $$\dot \mu =-\frac{v}{\mu } (s_{\pi }-s_{W})\dot v$$ Do ...
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1answer
23 views

Hep with total differentiation of an AD function [closed]

Is there anyone who can help me with a total differentiation exercize. I am starting with the following formula for AD: $$x=\mu ^{-1}(g+i+e)$$ Where $\mu$ is the Keynesian multiplier. And have to ...
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42 views

If an endogenous explanatory variable is serially correlated does it mean that its lags are also endogenous?

in panel data when examining economic growth determinants lags are often used to account for endogeneity of explanatory variables. However if the explanatory variable is serially correlated, does it ...
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8 views

What are the factors on which value of all resources ( good, silver, cash land etc. ) found in world changes over time?

And followed by, Does it right to say that, if any country become rich then other must become poor and vice-versa. If no, then Is it possible that, in certain conditions, all Nation in the world can ...
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2answers
638 views

Growth theory / Initial GDP: positive coefficient sign

I estimated growth regressions for several EU countries. In each of them, the sign of "initial GDP"'s coefficient is statistically significant but positive, which contradicts growth theory as well as ...
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1answer
53 views

annualized quarterly growth rate calculating

I was using R to calculate the annualized quarterly growth rate of real GDP by 400*diff(log(rgdp)). If I perform in this way some of the percentage change is big. However, if I calculate as 100*diff(...
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26 views

Which assets beat the injection of money and why?

Suppose a world in which every year $1.03 ^ Y$ liquidity is injected. Which assets could perform better than 3% per year? Growth forecasts for these?
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4answers
610 views

In GDP growth studies, are factors of production measured as stock or flows?

Consider the following cases: One machine (capital) is used by multiple producers within one year. For instance, farmers renting tractors from the same company. In this case, in terms of GDP, there ...
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1answer
54 views

Solow Model with a Capital Stock Externality

Suppose we have the following form of the Solow Model: $$ Y_t=K_t^{a+b} L_t^{1-a} $$ where a,b >0, and a+b<1. Is it possible to determine the steady state growth rate of k (k=K/L), and the steady ...
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19 views

Yield curve inversion and recession

Yield curve inversion is often a sign of a looming recession, but is there an explanation of this phenomenon other than the fact that historically we have seen that the two phenomena were indeed ...
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1answer
15 views

Is it reasonable, in panel data, to use past values of explanatory variables as instruments to deal with simultaneous causality?

I am trying to examine the determinants of economic growth, essentially regressing a number of variables upon economic growth. I face a problem that there is likely simultaneous causality between many ...
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1answer
1k views

Quarterly GDP growth: YoY vs QoQ / terminology

Quarterly GDP growth can be calculated either in terms of YoY change or - in the case of seasonally adjusted data - in terms of QoQ change. (A third option would be to annualize the QoQ rate.) To ...
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1answer
31 views

Maximizing units under a budget constraint and increasing costs

Consider two columns. Column A has total cost per day, Column B has units bought that day. The marginal cost of each unit is increasing because of limited supply. My goal is to estimate total ...
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21 views

Is a proft tax not distorting unless we know the opportunity cost?

A Profit tax where we actually know the Entire Cost Function Including the Opportunity cost(Time, Incommodation, best alternative for the easily monetized resources etc) is not distorting. But the ...
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1answer
57 views

What is the interpration of results if adding or subtracting a control variable effects the significance of explanotary variables?

I am conducting some regressions on economic growth determinants and I am disillusioned. Essentially by choosing what groups of variable to regress I can get the desired significance. What does this ...
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34 views

The rationale for using a lagged variable to address endogeneity arising from simultaneous causation?

when there is simultaneous causation between dependent and independent variables often in papers we see a lagged variable being used in place of contemporaneous variable. For example, Clemens, ...
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24 views

What is the relationship between economic growth and equality?

Does economic growth create more or less equality?
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Israel as an Asian Tiger

The Asian Tigers are Asian countries who underwent rapid industrialization and maintained exceptionally high growth rates in the second half of XX century. The question is: are there any objective ...
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1answer
42 views

Do patents foster innovation?

I'm looking for a good meta analysis which answers the question if patents are generally beneficial to economy or not. Some papers I've read claim they are indispensable, other say it depends on the ...
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3answers
231 views

Why do rich countries remain rich?

I can think of two possible explanations: People there inherited the wealth of their ancestors (and of the companies of their generation). Advances in technology allows you to earn money more easily. ...
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1answer
49 views

What is low unemployment and low gdp growth symptomatic of?

Obviously there are caveats with GDP, if you build a bridge to nowhere it counts as GDP, but if you mow your own lawn or volunteer to pick up garbage it doesn't count, and so forth and so on. However, ...
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1answer
25 views

Has there been an applications of search and matching theory in the Neoclassical Growth Model?

Specifically, I am looking for the standard neoclassical growth model, but the labour decision is based on either search or matching theory instead of a Walrasian labour mechanism.
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1answer
32 views

Typical Growth Model Social Planner Problem

Consider the following social planner's problem, hand-waving the usual assumptions on the preference, technology, endowment, and inelastic supply of labor: $V(k_o^*)= max_{\{c_t,k_{t+1}\}_{t=0}^{\...
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24 views

Growth Model Choices

In a typical macro growth model, a set-up usually concerns with the following trade-offs or choices to be made in each $t$: (1) $c_t$ v. $c_{t+1}$, consumption today versus tomorrow. (2) $c_t$ v. $1-...
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Beta convergence: data uncertainties

Maybe these questions are silly for many of you but I’m trying to conduct a beta convergence analysis using data from the Penn World Table, and I have run into some uncertainties. For the dependent ...
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1answer
436 views

If every company in the economy earns zero economic profit, can they contribute to real economic growth?

I understand that zero economic profit does not equal to zero accounting profit. It means that every resource that goes into the production is perfectly utilized considering alternative uses in the ...
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1answer
47 views

Is there any mainstream criticism of the Benes-Kumhof conclusion that the Chicago Plan would improve the US economy nowadays?

A 2012 IMF Working paper by Benes and Kumhof "The Chicago Plan Revisited " has this abstract, finding in favor of the Chicago Plan an all counts basically: At the height of the Great Depression a ...
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3answers
128 views

Why is a Normal Yield Curve a sign of a healthy economy?

I think the question is pretty self explanatory. I'm just trying to understand the logic behind why an upward sloping yield curve indicates a good economy?
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53 views

Are there any studies, academic papers or articles that defy “common” knowledge", i.e that patents give an incentive for R&D to private business?

In Economic Growth and particularly dynamic optimization. My professor taught us that an intertemporal allocation is a dynamic optimum(Pareto Optimum) only if(necessary condition) at any given ...
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2answers
86 views

German economic growth in 20th century

I have question regarding this great animation: Animation: The World’s 10 Largest Economies by GDP (1960-Today) Why did Germany GDP shrink so much from 1995 to 2000, while US was still growing very ...
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How long did it take before the Hawley–Smoot Tariffs reached their peak effect on US growth?

I understand that this may still be a contentious issue, but are there some estimates how long it took before the Hawley–Smoot Tariffs impacted US growth significantly and/or how long it took for them ...