Questions tagged [empirical-evidence]

The tag has no usage guidance.

Filter by
Sorted by
Tagged with
22 votes
4 answers
2k views

Has the Nash Equilibrium led to any significant economic discoveries?

The Nash Equilibrium provided a new look at certain economic problems and won the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences in 1994. Since its creation, the Nash Equilibrium has been applied to "...
18 votes
2 answers
5k views

The efficacy of death penalty in reducing violent crimes

Common sense says that the provision of death penalty would make it costlier for people to commit crimes like murder or rape, thus reducing the expected payoffs and accordingly the occurrence of such ...
14 votes
3 answers
208 views

Current knowledge about the empirics of consumer theory

I would like to get up to speed on the current state of empirical work done to test the assumptions and predictions of consumer theory (think Chapters 1, 2, 3, and 6 of Mas-Colell et al.). Can anyone ...
  • 16.6k
8 votes
2 answers
245 views

Do welfare payments for children incentivise having children?

A common argument against safety net social welfare for people with children is that it can incentivise people without better options to have children. This could be considered a problem if it means ...
  • 2,026
8 votes
2 answers
2k views

Practical examples of fair division algorithms being used

Consider the problem of fairly sharing a homogeneous cake between two people. It is well-known that a fair division can be achieved through the divide and choose procedure: player 1 cuts the cake into ...
  • 16.6k
8 votes
1 answer
99 views

Competition and welfare - empirical evidence

Consider the following claims: less competitive markets deliver worse outcomes for consumers, less competitive markets deliver lower social welfare, less competitive markets deliver higher prices/...
  • 16.6k
7 votes
2 answers
133 views

Have there been attempts to measure the value of specific taught skills?

I'm aware there is a body of research concerned with measuring the returns to schooling in general, and there are theoretical pronouncements about what the most valuable things to learn at school are. ...
  • 71
7 votes
1 answer
171 views

Evidence on economic impact of 2015 European refugee/migrant influx

At the time of writing (September 2015), Europe is dealing with a large influx of refugees/migrants. Many are fleeing violence in Syria and elsewhere, others come from Africa and the Middle East in ...
  • 16.6k
7 votes
1 answer
171 views

Differing Inflation Rates for Separate Income Groups; Literature?

So here's a few ideas that have been floating around my head since undergraduate university. It seems that money owned by the highest net wealth owners is always moving around and making a return, but ...
  • 6,426
6 votes
3 answers
291 views

Conventional Monetary Policy and Income Inequality

In almost every textbook, it's stated that monetary policy is preferred to fiscal policy, since the latter is more politically difficult to implement due to smaller consensus on its redistributive ...
6 votes
1 answer
137 views

Gali and van Rens: The Vanishing Procyclicality of Labor Productivity

Let's see how questions like the following are taken here. Gali and van Rens, 2014 show that empirically, the correlation between $Y, Y/L$ has been declining over time. In fact, it only was a "real ...
  • 10.5k
5 votes
1 answer
73 views

How many utility functions can a person have?

Classical choice theory assumes that each person has a utility function, and chooses from each set of options an option that maximizes this utility. There are many empirical studies that refute this ...
5 votes
1 answer
722 views

How to measure Tobin's q?

How do people calculate Tobin'q empirically? Does anyone use it to make investment decisions? In particular, the version I learnt has no company debt involved with only capital under consideration, ...
5 votes
1 answer
524 views

Are profits procyclical?

This is somewhat related, but distinct from Cyclicality of Markups Basically, I'm looking for papers on whether firms profits are (on average) procyclical or not, and I appreciate theoretical, but ...
  • 10.5k
5 votes
0 answers
61 views

Estimates of magnitude of externalities generated by education?

It is standard to claim that education generates positive externalities. For example, Mankiw (2017, Principles of Economics, p. 193): education also yields positive externalities. One externality ...
's user avatar
5 votes
0 answers
240 views

Arguments against inheritance tax

One of the arguments against inheritance tax is that it lowers the incentive to work for those close to retirement who have earnt enough money to be comfortable in old age. How much is this offset ...
5 votes
0 answers
204 views

Consumption-Leisure Elasticity

The macro-literature insists on a consumption-leisure elasticity of 0 to match the balanced growth fact of constant labor supply. Is there any paper that tries to evaluate this elasticity using ...
  • 10.5k
5 votes
0 answers
63 views

Empirical evidence on what makes a border adjustment successful at correcting a distortion without exporting externalities?

One of the challenges of constructing a national or regional market-correction scheme to remove the distortions from negative externalities, is that such a scheme is liable to create leakage: for ...
  • 8,032
4 votes
2 answers
173 views

Is the development of "developing countries" evidence against the idea that former colonial powers owe their headway to exploitation?

There is a recurring narrative (especially but not exclusively in left-leaning circles) that today's "developed nations", particularly Western former colonial powers, owe much of their wealth and ...
4 votes
3 answers
8k views

Change in the way unemployment is calculated in the US?

In the last 8 years has their been a change in the way unemployment is calculated? Is there a nuance that has changed in the polling info? Many of my right wing comrades claim the Obama administration ...
4 votes
1 answer
57 views

"Tightness" of political elections and public attention

Are there any empirical studies on political elections that focus on the "tightness" of the race and how much attention the election receives from the public (or perhaps voter turnout). By "tightness"...
  • 14.7k
4 votes
2 answers
133 views

Is there any evidence for consumer utility-maximising behaviour, at individual or market level?

Even though utility maximisation is ubiquitous in economic textbooks to model consumer behaviour, its usefulness is rarely demonstrated by evidence. Is there any evidence that some consumers do ...
  • 183
4 votes
2 answers
307 views

Empirical explanation on divergence between productivity and wages since the 70s

There is a well know graph, that shows a tight link between productivity and wages, until the 70s, and a break of the link since: There's a lot of possible explanations for this, I keep hearing more ...
4 votes
1 answer
118 views

Empirical Data on Demand for Minimum-Wage Jobs in the USA

The idea of a minimum wage and its effects in terms of supply and demand are well-known in mainstream economic theory. I'm constructing an argument regarding the minimum wage, and what I'm curious ...
  • 143
4 votes
2 answers
144 views

Are there economic journals which are keen to publish puzzling empirical observations?

In his book "Patterns of Speculation: A Study in Observational Econophysics"(2002) Bertrand Roehner makes a bold assertion: Physical journals welcome all kinds of experimental observations, ...
  • 251
4 votes
1 answer
225 views

Economic examples of (sub)martingales

A (discrete time) martingale is a stochastic process $\{X_t\}_{t\in\mathbb N}$ that satisfies, for all $t\in\mathbb N$, $$ E(|X_t|)<\infty $$ and $$ E(X_{t+1}|X_1,\dots,X_t)=X_t. $$ And a ...
  • 14.7k
4 votes
1 answer
131 views

Reasons for the recent rise in long-term unemployment

Kroft et al document the raise of long-term unemployed in the US during the recent crises. This is an impressive figure from their paper: They show that the raise does not come from compositional ...
  • 10.5k
4 votes
2 answers
134 views

Is there any empirical evidence for the so-called "law" of diminishing returns

The "law" of diminishing returns is usually "demonstrated" with made-up examples (programmers working on a software, farmers acquiring land...), but rarely on evidence. Is there any empirical research ...
  • 183
3 votes
2 answers
3k views

Cyclicality of Real Wages? Counter, pro or acyclical?

Is the real wage counter or pro- cyclical? I've read in some textbooks that the real wage is mildly pro-cyclical, but I've also found some papers stating that it's acyclical. So, which is it? Also, ...
3 votes
1 answer
334 views

Calculating Tobin's q from the financial statements of publicly listed companies

I'm interested in doing some empirical analysis of firm's investment behavior using financial statements (such as asset, working capital, operating cost, etc). One variable I want to manually ...
3 votes
1 answer
383 views

Replicate Romer and Romer (2004) results

I am trying to replicate figure 2 from Romer and Romer's (2004) paper on monetary shocks (http://eml.berkeley.edu/~dromer/papers/AER_September04.pdf). Essentially, having generated a series for ...
3 votes
1 answer
242 views

Empirical justification for a constant-returns-to-scale production function in the Solow model

I am currently learning the Solow model of growth, where a constant returns to scale production function for the economy is assumed. I realise that the assumption makes further analysis much simpler, ...
3 votes
1 answer
148 views

What would be the GDP of Algeria without Oil & Gas?

Facts : *Algeria's GDP is 230 B$, *Oil & Gas account for 30% (70 B$) My simplistic reasoning would say : Substract 70 from 230 and get a new GDP of 160 B$. ...
  • 31
3 votes
0 answers
40 views

Do countries with high taxes end up with low government debt but high private debt?

I'm curious if my observation that some Scandinavian countries (Denmark, Sweden) have high taxes, low government debt, but high private (in particular high household) debt is applicable more generally ...
  • 3,748
2 votes
2 answers
56 views

Is it possible to tell anything about market structure if I have annual price data of the industries?

I have three goods: beer carp (fish) museum ticket Is it possible to tell anything about market structure if I have annual price data of the industries? Here's the time-series plot on a single graph:...
2 votes
1 answer
241 views

Real world evidence that voluntary exchange is mutually beneficial?

The other day I was having a debate with a supporter of high taxes. I decided to argue against this by explaining the concept of the deadweight loss of taxation. In order to do so, I started with ...
  • 23
2 votes
1 answer
194 views

Value added by workers

Is there any empirical evidence on the value added by workers? That is, their "productivity" minus the wage payments, social security benefits etc. that are paid by the firm? I'm eventually looking ...
  • 10.5k
2 votes
1 answer
28 views

Can we simplify a 4-layer conceptual model with control variables?

I have a quick question on a conceptual model in an empirical research. Say that I have two antecedents A and B of C. I can use some theory to hypothesize that A and B affect C, and based on results ...
  • 123
2 votes
2 answers
110 views

Is it possible for disposable income to be lower than consumption expenditure?

I have an issue dealing with dataset provided for my coursework. Because of the fact that I've been failing to find time-series of the same or similar values anywhere from world bank to Office for ...
2 votes
0 answers
46 views

Elasticity of substitution of goods in canonical New Keynesian Model

In the context of a New Keynesian Model (NKM) with imperfect competition, the aggregate demand for good can be represented using Dixit-Stiglitz aggregator $$C_t=\Bigg(\sum^1_0C_t(i)^{\varepsilon-1\...
  • 153
2 votes
0 answers
30 views

Successes and limitations of New Keynesian DSGE models?

What are some good review papers that discuss the successes and limitations of current state of the art (New Keynesian) DSGE models assuming rational expectations? Probably some of these reviews can ...
2 votes
0 answers
48 views

Are there empirical studies that quantify shoe-leather or menu costs?

Two theoretical arguments why a high level of inflation is bad (e.g. for growth) are: shoe-leather cost: keeping lower money balances when inflation is high (implying more frequent trips to the bank/...
  • 3,748
2 votes
0 answers
41 views

Empirical Study of Auctions with Limited Data

I have limited real auction data which I am trying to see if I can do any empirical analysis. The data consists of auction type (i.e., forward or reverse), protocol (e.g., Vickrey, Dutch, English, etc....
  • 21
1 vote
1 answer
151 views

A question on the accuracy of economic forecasts

I apologise if thi's question appears dumb or boring, but I am asking it as a lay person. The context is that I am always arguing with friends that they should trust the economists view that Bexit (...
1 vote
1 answer
91 views

How much can we trust macroeconometric analysis?

I am a student of economics in my masters and I have learned quite a lot about microeconometrics (I mean mainly quasi-experimental methods / causality determination). Here my current understanding is ...
  • 341
1 vote
1 answer
102 views

Evidence for or against the Efficient Market Hypothesis in financial markets and the currently dominant view

The Efficient Market Hypothesis seems to draw quite a lot of attention in popular debates, and in general during discussions on Behavioral Finance, where it is often seen as not entirely correct. I ...
1 vote
2 answers
43 views

Empirical research into sectoral comovement

I'm looking for some empirical studies into sectoral comovement. In particular, I'm interested in how manufacturing and services industries move together both in the long run and over the course of a ...
  • 63
1 vote
1 answer
65 views

What's the speed of convergence to the potential GDP? (Empirical estimates)

Suppose a reform makes potential GDP higher, at what speed does actual GDP close the gap? I'm looking preferentially for empirical estimates, but anything that allows me to narrow it down will be ...
  • 253
1 vote
1 answer
46 views

"Normal" vs "actual" variables in empirical work

In an early OECD study by Deppler and Ripley (1978), the authors distinguish between output per man hour, $OMH$, and what they call "Normal" output per man-hour, $NOMH$. (table 2, p152) At no point ...
  • 330
1 vote
1 answer
24 views

What are the different patterns/quantity of employment according to demands of different income ranges?

I don't really have that much knowledge on economics or anything, so perhaps that's something I'd find an answer if I just knew the adequate terminology. Rephrasing/explaining my question: different ...