Questions tagged [expectations]

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Impact of contractionary monetary policy and IS-LM curve shifts

Using the IS-LM diagram, show the impact of a contractionary monetary policy for a country when: (a) it does not affect expectations about future interest rates and output (b) it affects expectations ...
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Solution Check on Problem about expected inflation and Philips Curve relation (from Blanchard's Macroeconomics book)

Consider a country with two political parties, Democrats and Republicans. Democrats care more about unemployment than Republicans, and Republicans care more about inflation than Democrats. When ...
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Why is return same as interest rate (yield) in the expectations theory?

My book (Financial Markets and Institutions, Mishkin et al.) treats returns and interest rates as the same thing while explaining the expectations theory in Chapter 5. However, in the previous chapter ...
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1 vote
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Does the ECB provide a daily Inflation Expectations series for the Euro area?

I've been searching for market indicators for Inflation Expectations. The FED provides at least two, one of those being the T5YIFR from the FRED database. Regarding the ECB I couldn't find anything... ...
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Determinants of inflation expectation

What are the most important factors that determine inflation expectation in a country, both based on theoretical models and on empirical evidence? If an answer is too lengthy for the site, reference ...
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Market Measures for Inflation Expectations for Euro zone

If I were to use a market measure for inflation expectations for the USA, I would look at the differential of yields between the conventional and inflation-indexed Treasuries. However, in the Euro ...
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6 votes
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Solving Rational Expectation Models Linear vs. Nonlinear

Since I am coding some linear New Keynesian models in python and solving them under rational expectations (using the method of undetermined coefficients/linear time iteration), I was wondering whether ...
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Expected value of order statistics for uniform distribution

I have $X$ ~ $U(0,1)$ interval. Let n=2, i.e. $X_1 < X_2$ I have to calculate the expected value of ${X_2}^{m/(1-m)}$. Where, $0≤m≤1$ I want to confirm if I have calculated it correctly? $$\int_0^1 ...
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-1 votes
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Why is there no room for expectations if the economy is always in equilibrium?

Joan Robinson (1972): If the economy is always in equilibrium anyway, where is the room for expectations?
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