Questions tagged [federal-reserve]

Use only for questions that are directly related to the central bank of the United States, the "Fed". For example, US monetary policy, US money supply, US balance sheet, etc. Do not use for generic questions related to central banks, monetary policy or other, which are not directly related to the Fed. Use instead central-banking, monetary-policy, or related tags.

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89 views

Is Fiat Money Ultimately Tax Based?

First, I am not an economist, so seeking general "good enough" answers. Since Nixon went off the gold standard the U.S. dollar has been a fiat currency backed by federal debt. While I ...
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21 views

Why isn't the Federal Reserve interest rate set by a published algorithm?

The Federal Reserve sets the interest rate, presumably based on a number characteristics and trends in the economy: inflation, GDP growth, population growth, unemployment, housing prices, etc. However,...
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43 views

Can the Federal Reserve permanently decrease money supply?

As far as I understand it, the primary way the Federal Reserve decreases the money supply is by selling bonds–the entities buying these bonds give up their cash for them and thus M0 is decreased. ...
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37 views

How the Fed and Treasury coordinate on liquidity management

On top of the Fed's USD120bn monthly treasury/MBS purchases, the drawdown in Treasury issuance over the last year has also added over USD1tr to the system. The premise is, faced with drawn-out debt ...
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1answer
64 views

Why do we need independent central banks?

Why should we have an independent central bank? Why can not the govt itself do the job that central bank does? One logic people give is that governments are elected for short term and may take ...
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1answer
49 views

Why is IOER so much higher than short term Treasury yields?

Interest on excess reserves is currently at 0.15%, but the yield on 1, 2, 3, and 6 month Treasury bonds are all only 0.05%. Why is this the case? Shouldn't IOER be about the same if not lower than the ...
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1answer
121 views

Did Capitalism and Adam Smith Support a Central Bank?

Does Adam Smith and Capitalism support a Central Bank/Federal Reserve? I am trying to read through the book "Wealth of Nations" to understand. Having a central/regulatory figure dictate ...
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1answer
23 views

At what frequency does monetary inflation compound?

The M1 money supply of the U.S. dollar is released monthly. But how often does the Federal Reserve or treasury add/remove a new dollar or a new penny? By second, minute, daily?
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1answer
146 views

Has there really been a 170% increase in M1 money supply in the US in February 2021?

tradingeconomics shows an M1 money supply of the past year as follows: This suggests an unusually high increase of ~170% in February 2021. Is this increase real or somehow an artifact of the way the ...
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29 views

Do Fed OMOs directly and immediately increase M1 or M2 if they buy treasuries from a member bank? And what proportion of OMOs does that constitute?

I commonly hear that when the Fed conducts open market operations, it is directly increasing the money supply by exchanging newly created electronic money for US treasuries. But in the case where the ...
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73 views

What is the purpose of taxes if central banks can fund deficit spending?

Somewhat straight forward. If the federal reserve can print money to buy treasuries to fund deficit spending, what is the purpose of taxes? Sure, taxes reduce the amount of deficit that needs to be ...
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1answer
26 views

Does FED's change in short-interest rates impact long term rates?

Through changing the federal fund rate(short-term), does this empirically impact the longer end of the curve? If so, what is the logic or transmission mechanism that caused the change?
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1answer
190 views

Is The Money Masters (1996) correct in its main thesis?

The Money Masters is a 1996 documentary film that discusses the concepts of money, debt, taxes, and describes their development from biblical times onward. Its main points were summarized by a ...
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1answer
51 views

How come Fed doing RRP could push short term interest rates below 0?

So there is this Reuters article, saying that the amount of cash has peaked in Fed's RRP facility, meaning that it has entered the RRP market. It also claims that this could push short term interest ...
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1answer
32 views

US Reserve Currency Status Impact on Inflation

Since US dollar has global reserve currency status meaning that other countries need to keep a certain amount of US dollar as reserves. There's a narrative that being a reserve currency, if US prints ...
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16 views

Why is hyper inflation not a concern with huge rise in M2? [duplicate]

According to quantity theory of money, with velocity and production being relatively stable, we would expect the amount of inflation to be proportional to the amount of money circulating in the ...
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3answers
57 views

How the Federal Reserve Manages Money Supply

I'm trying to understand how the Federal Reserve manages the money supply via open market operations. According to this post, when Fed buys securities, that increases bank reserves, which allows banks ...
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1answer
55 views

Why does central banks lowering interest rate incentivize more borrowing?

I'm a layman trying to understand how the US monetary system works. I'm particularly interested in how the Federal Reserve can create inflation without printing new dollars and putting them in M1. My ...
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1answer
24 views

Update of Fed mandate(2020) - "shortfalls of employment"

In this Fed link, it's stated that 1 of the most important changes in the document describing the Fed mandate/framework, is On maximum employment, the FOMC emphasized that maximum employment is a ...
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1answer
52 views

Why is the Fed worried about short term interest rates going negative?

I refer to the following article: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-02-25/negative-interest-rates-could-be-trouble-unless-fed-acts, notably the following paragraph: Market observers ...
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1answer
204 views

M2-M1: what's left in the delta?

If you subtract M2SL - M1SL, the chart looks as follows: The change is due to re-classification: M1 before: (3) other checkable deposits (OCDs), consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal, or NOW, ...
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1answer
66 views

How can the Fed enforce exit criteria if they begin yield curve control?

Over the past year, the notion yield curve control has resurfaced and appeared on FOMC minutes, decades after its last implementation. According to the Fed's introduction page: As the U.S. continued ...
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3answers
84 views

What is the mechanism for when the fed purchases a gov't or corporate bond from a non bank?

My understanding is when the fed buys a bond from a bank they use bank reserves (bank reserves are swapped for a bond). How does the transaction differ when a non bank (ex hedge fund) is involved?
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111 views

Are stimulus checks created out of thin air? [closed]

My question is regarding the checks which the US government has sent out during the pandemic. Below is a chart of M2 money supply increase as a result of it: It is also said that 40% of all the m2 ...
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1answer
49 views

Is it easier to borrow money during a recession or high inflation period?

During a recession the FED applies expansionary monetary policies while during high inflation periods it contracts the money supply which respectively lowers and raises interests rates. Given that ...
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1answer
37 views

How did the US Government fund its deficit when the Federal Reserve was pruning its balance sheet in 2018-1019?

The primary way for Governments to fund their deficits is by issuing new currency from the central bank against new treasury bonds. The Federal Reserve reduced its [balance sheet]1 from 4.4 trillion ...
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1answer
35 views

Why is market absorption of issued US Treasury Bonds (with the Fed purchase plan) a problem?

Financial market reports suggest that there are uncertainties about the Federal Reserve's ability to absorb new US Treasury Bonds issued in larger quantities to support the US government's growing ...
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1answer
53 views

Why it is important to observe if the 10Y treasury yield moves nowadays?

in the context of low yields, where fed continues with fiscal stimulus, I've heard from many economists that this week the 10Y treasury rate has been finally increasing. In which situation is this ...
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1answer
46 views

Where can I retrieve a complete history of macro economic data annoucements?

I'd like to get the complete ( well at least the last 20 years) history of economic data announcement calendar firstly for US and secondly for G5 countries. I have found many websites that propose the ...
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1answer
29 views

What's the advantage of repurchase agreements over collateral backed loans?

Is there any material difference between a repo and a collateral backed loan? The one I can think of is that the collateral is owned by the lending party during the loan. So if the Fed uses this with ...
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1answer
62 views

Do open market operations permanently increase the money supply?

Suppose the Fed buys 1000 dollars worth of T-Bills in the open market to try decrease interest rates and increase the money supply. It does this by printing money and electronically increasing the ...
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1answer
53 views

Is there an alternative to currency to facilitate exchange of goods and services?

Say I have collected a bunch of seashells. Tom wants to have my seashells. Therefore the seashells have value and I have just created wealth. And so Tom buys my seashells for \$10. But even though I ...
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2answers
103 views

When does US Federal Reserve redeem the corporate bonds it bought?

The US Federal Reserve did the corporate bond buying program in the 2008 crisis and again now during the 2020 pandemic. What happens to the bonds it is buying? That is, someday it matures and ...
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15 views

Due-diligence behind discount window lending

Its clear the Federal reserve is doing risk assessments at the discount window since they separate credit into primary and secondary. I'm curious how secondary credit risk is handled. Given that ...
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41 views

When are banks allowed to fail?

If the Federal Reserve acts as a lender of last resort and steps in to prevent bank runs, then how do banks still fail? Do they only step in if the bank is solvent but in emergency need of funds?
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53 views

How does the fed pump the stock market [closed]

I've been hearing a lot about the fed "pumping the stock market" with trillions of dollars to maintain prices. I know the fed isn't allowed to actually buy stocks so how is this money being ...
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0answers
24 views

overnight index swaps OIS

I'm writing a paper where I am using expected federal funds rates at different horizons and wanted to use the OIS as a proxy for what the market expects the FFR to be post FOMC-meetings. However, I ...
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1answer
50 views

Why is the fed forbidden from buying gov't debt directly from the treasury?

I know it's forbidden in its charter. But what is the economic rationale?
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34 views

Does treasury pay interest+ face value to the fed?

heard all the profit that the fed makes goes into treasury.. does that mean the treasury department can make unlimited money buy selling bonds to the fed? like if they issue bond to people, and the ...
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2answers
32 views

CPI dataset from BLS

I hope this question is not inconvenient for any of you, so I would appreciate if you do not mark it as not useful. I want to work with the data of the CPI from the BLS (I am not American, and this is ...
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1answer
54 views

Why did Federal Reserve buy already-issued corporate bonds, ETFs, and agency commercial mortgage-backed securities?

I screen-shot WSJ on Sep 18 2020. I'm assuming that Fed Primary Market Corporate Credit Facility didn't buy ALL newly issued corporate bonds? Please see question in title. Why didn't Federal Reserve ...
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99 views

How does high U.S. federal debt affect its citizens?

My apologies if this is a silly question. My background isn't in economics, though wish I had some. During the 2008-9 financial crisis, federal debt increased significantly and there was a small talk ...
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1answer
49 views

How is reserve money 'multiplied' by the banking system?

I'ma an econ newbie so please forgive my lack of understanding. I am confused as to how the money multiplier effect works. I get that the money multiplier effect doesn't actually hold true as banks ...
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1answer
78 views

Why would mortgage rates go up if interest rates go down?

What reasons or scenarios could cause a case where mortgage rates would rise if interest rates(federal funds rate) fall? Is that even possible?
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57 views

How does the U.S. Fed printing money result in a debt for future generations?

I'm unclear when I see news articles about how the U.S. Treasury will borrow $2 Trillion in the second half of 2020, why would the Fed printing money result in a debt for future generations? I can ...
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1answer
36 views

What does "writes a check to Congress in exchange for them" mean in this context?

On page 192 of the 5th edition, George Edward Griffin begins to describe the "Mandrake Mechanism", chapter ten, in "The Creature from Jekyll Island". First, the Fed takes all the ...
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92 views

How does the Fed's stimulus push stocks markets higher?

I read that the Fed’s stimulus last March has contributed to a spectacular rally in stock markets. And indeed S&P500 has increased a lot since March. But how does the mechanism work? How does the ...
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1answer
47 views

How does the Greenspan/Bernanke Put semantically relate to put options?

If rational investors reckon that "the Fed, under Alan Greenspan, its longtime chairman, would always bail stock investors out of their losing positions", then rational investors would buy ...
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28 views

Federal Reserve OMO money goes to the Treasury? [duplicate]

If Federal Reserve performs open market operation by selling government securities then Fed gets money, who keeps that money? Does it go to Federal Reserve Deposit or the department of Treasury or ...
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2answers
88 views

What is the purpose of the Treasury issuing bonds?

I have always thought that the US Treasury issues bonds to raise money to allow the US to pay off debts in the short- and long-term. However, recently, I have read in a book on Modern Monetary Theory ...