Questions tagged [forecasting]

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7
votes
2answers
129 views

Predicted recessions that never happened

It seems generally accepted that recessions are hard to forecast, in both onset and intensity, but the bias seems to be toward rosy outlooks: The main finding is that, while forecasters are ...
3
votes
5answers
329 views

The economics of a “no deal” Brexit

A "no deal" Brexit is presented in negative terms. In such a scenario the UK would set tariff schedules in line with trade strategy and protect domestic industry/agriculture with tariff rate quotas. ...