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4 votes
1 answer
74 views

SVAR: proof of the $(K^2-K)/2$ restrictions and identifiability?

I'm currently using Structural vector autoregressive models by Kevin Kotzé to learn Vector Autoregression. One of the points that it makes is the following: the number of restrictions that we need to ...
stats_learner's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
90 views

How to assess the quality of a forecast?

Let's say I have a time series model (VAR model for example). How can I know that my forecast is good ? I could use the R2 but is there something else? I also know I could just use in sample ...
BAL's user avatar
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0 votes
1 answer
31 views

Which variable keep/get rid in a time series model?

Let s say I have a big VAR model with many variables. Then I run the model. How can I know which variables I should keep or get rid of if I want to ameliorate my model ? What if my model has so many ...
BAL's user avatar
  • 457
1 vote
1 answer
204 views

Cholesky Identification in Structural VAR

Can you suggest me a framework in macroeconomics or finance where identification of a Structural VAR model through Cholesky ordering is still considered credible (in your opinion)? I'm looking for a ...
Giorgetto's user avatar
  • 223