Questions tagged [unemployment]

Unemployment is the condition of one who is capable of working, actively seeking work, but unable to find any work.

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1answer
135 views

How is employment related to aggregate demand and aggregate supply?

When we talk about excess or deficient aggregate demand , how does employment suddenly comes ?
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1answer
50 views

What measure of unemployment is used by central banks to find out whether the rate of unemployment is below the natural rate of unemployment?

Having an unemployment rate below the natural rate of unemployment (NRU) leads to wage inflation and a reduction in productivity. Seeing the consequences of that, and knowing that one of the roles of ...
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1answer
43 views

US unemployment data release date

Using the CSV file provided by St. Louis Fed (which is based on the data series LNS14000000 from the Bureau of Labor Statistics) I noticed that the date is always the first day of each month for the ...
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1answer
28 views

If companies could reduce prices to bring up demand during a recession, then why there is less production/output and more unemployment

When consumer demand reduces, and if companies could reduce prices to bring up demand during a recession, then why there is less production/output and more unemployment during a recession?
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How will non-rich citizens make a living if jobs keep getting replaced by robots and are outsourced?

Decades ago a factory job could support a wife and kids until retirement and they offered insurance, benefits, etc. Now, no more unions, those jobs as well as tech and customer service jobs are ...
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1answer
56 views

Why high levels of inflation doesn't leads to high levels of employment?

According to the original Phillips curve $\pi=(\mu+z)-u$ there's a negative relation between inflation and unemployment. That being said, if there were a really high level of inflation, then there ...
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1answer
55 views

Search and Matching model with 2 agents?

I would like to know if you know any model with Search and matching framework (Mortenses-Pisarides style) with 2 types of workers (like Ricardian and rule of thumb consumers for exemple) ? I would ...
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3answers
6k views

Is 'full employment' synonymous with 'the natural rate of unemployment'?

Is the phrase 'full employment' synonymous with the phrase 'the natural rate of unemployment'? Parkin, et al. (2010) seem to use these two terms interchangably in chapter 20, but looking up these two ...
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1answer
20 views

How does using HP filter allows us to estimate long-run values for variables such as output and unemployement?

I'm reading the paper "Okun's Law: Fit at 50?" written by Laurence Ball, Daniel Leigh and Prakash Loungani. In it, in order to estimate Okun's Law in its level form, they use the HP filter ...
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0answers
38 views

Imputing # of unemployed from Labor Force Survey

I am working on state-level data, where one state has recently stopped publishing the absolute figures for the number of the unemployed. Instead, it currently only releases U and LFP rates. ...
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0answers
11 views

Unemployment with Insiders-Outsiders. What is a core employee?

In Dynamic Macroeconomics book, by Alogoskoufis, on chapter 17, he analyses a model of aggregate fluctuations that is based on periodic nominal wage contracts and can explain involuntary unemployment (...
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4answers
2k views

Relationship between Real Interest Rate and Employment

The country of Kingsland is considering the introduction of a compulsory retirement saving scheme. Under this scheme all workers are required to save ten per cent of their annual wages and ...
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0answers
29 views

Inverting the production function - Okun's Law: Fit at 50? (BALL; LEIGH; LOUNGANI, 2012)

Consider the following equations: $$ \tag{1} E_t - E_t^* = \gamma \cdot (Y_t - Y_t^*) + \eta_t, \gamma > 0, $$ $$ \tag{2} U_t - U_t^* = \delta \cdot (E_t - E_t^*) + \mu_t, \delta < 0 $$ where $...
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1answer
21 views

Unemployment Claims vs Monthly Jobs Report

Lately weekly Unemployment claims have been around 700,000. So Monthly unemployment claims are about 4 x 700,000 or 2,800,000. YET Jobs Reports say: The U.S. economy gained 638,000 jobs in ...
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0answers
17 views

Are there any measures of U-6 Unemployment that take into account ageing out of the work force explicitly?

Labor Force Participation has been steadily decreasing over the last 20 years or so. The Fed says that this has been the case mostly due to the demographic shifts, and to an extent the data backs that ...
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1answer
193 views

Would a Federal Job Guarantee hurt the economy?

I've been reading about how a job creation program would disrupt the private sector. One of the main things I kept seeing was that the a FJG will result in the elimination of thousands of jobs. So, ...
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1answer
40 views

Unemployment rates in US during COVID-19

Does the COVID-19 pandemic affect the unemployment rate in US?
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2answers
102 views

Does migration exacerbate (albeit delay) the problem of aging, economically-inactive populations in Western societies?

As a layman, I've always understood that there is a general consensus amongst economists that "immigration is economically beneficial" to rich Western countries (like Britain) who have aging ...
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3answers
5k views

What has caused the recent 25% unemployment rate in Spain?

The unemployment rate in Spain has recently been fluctuating around 25%. What has caused this?
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1answer
27 views

In-ovo chick sexing vs. unemployment [closed]

As they report in Wikipedia, daily 7 million male chicks are killed for economic reasons. What I did not know is that obviously the actual separation, sexing is done manually? Instrument or machine ...
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1answer
52 views

Can anyone help me understand the Motrtensen-Pissarides model?

I am seeking help with the Mortensen-Pissarides model in discrete time? Basically, I was given the following in class example (which we didn’t complete do to time constraints associated with the end ...
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2answers
290 views

Does working abroad cause less unemployment? Or is it actually harmful (directly or opportunity cost)?

This question is from subjective origins but is (supposed to be) objective. The context of this question arises from people in third world countries going abroad to work. Often they are seen as money-...
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0answers
22 views

Explaining negative "cyclic" unemployment with a production function

First of all, here is a related post. Unfortunately, it does not answer my question. I have heard that there is an understanding of negative unemployment in economic theory. Obviously, absolute ...
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0answers
11 views

What are the different use cases in economics for the different definitions of unemployment published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics?

The BLS releases the unemployment rate in the United States once every month. This unemployment rate (officially U-3) is defined as the total unemployed as a percentage of the the total civilian work ...
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1answer
31 views

What is the probability of an unemployed worker receiving no job offer during a time period?

we are currently covering one sided search models and I had a question for you all. I kind of understand the raw calculus behind finding the probability of a job offer over a time interval h, but what ...
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Modelling the effect of crisis on unemployment

We want to estimate the effect of crises on a country's unemployment rate and distinguish the strength of this effect according to the debt level in a country (i.e. via the interaction effect crisis x ...
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1answer
45 views

What's holding the U.S. from decreasing unemployment by cutting H1B limits?

I don't understand why doesn't the U.S. decrease the number of H1B visa holders (foreign workers) during the current economic crisis? The unemployment is skyrocketing, wouldn't this measure decrease ...
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2answers
38 views

What does the seasonal adjustment curve for major macroeconomic metrics look like?

All the explanations of seasonal adjustment that I found from a quick search either don't give any quantitative examples, or give an example with a time series that is either made up or represents an ...
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1answer
43 views

Does the sudden spike in the US jobless claim pose systemic risk to the US unemployment insurance system?

There has been an unprecedented short-term increase in US unemployment owing to the Covid-19 crisis. Initial jobless claims soared to a seasonally adjusted 3.28 million in the week ended March 21, ...
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0answers
37 views

Are there any estimates for what percentage of the jobs lost this spring are "permanent" at least for the rest of the year?

In a "view from the helicopter" video by The Economist on the aftereffects of Covid-19, one of the editors says that it's very unlikely we'll see a return to normal this year e.g. in the restaurant ...
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1answer
33 views

Choice of measure for unemployment

There are six types of unemployment rates in the US (U1-U6). U6 provides the broadest measure of unemployment, taking into account not only the unemployed labour market participants who are actively ...
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1answer
39 views

Under what BLS line do "people who want a job but haven’t searched in the last 12 months" show up?

I'm trying to understand how this CNN math was derived: This category — jobless people who “want a job now” but “did not search for work in the previous year” — has hovered around 3 million workers ...
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0answers
72 views

What are some common causes of jobless growth?

While "jobless recovery" is often discussed in the aftermath of recessions in Western countries, it seems it's always a short-lived phenomenon. On the other hand, it looks like in other parts of the ...
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2answers
82 views

Should unemployment caused by the government closing non-essential businesses during quarantine be counted as structrural unemployment?

I have following definition of structural unemployment (taken from "Modern principles of economics" by Tyler Cowen and Alex Tabarrok): Long-term unemployment caused by shocks or permanent features ...
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1answer
63 views

Who is working right now? (coronoavirus)

Is there any research, graphs, or any formal (non-opinion) information on where I can get information on what people are working right now? I want to know, who is still collecting a paycheck. I am a ...
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1answer
761 views

Am I correct that cyclical unemployment can be negative?

Let's start with stating and emphasizing some truths that we will need later. Overall unemployment rate=Frictional unemployment + Structural unemployment + Cyclical unemployment. Also, Natural rate of ...
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2answers
102 views

Can structural unemployment be caused by regulations/laws of the government?

I think yes. Is my reasoning correct? The reasoning: Suppose, for an example, that prostitution was legal, but then the State changed its laws and criminalized prostitution. Has the State created ...
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1answer
35 views

Areas of Europe with more women than men have higher GDP and lower unemployment. Why might this be? [closed]

Using Eurostat data I've found that regions of Europe with more women than men (i.e. female biased sex ratio) have higher GDP and lower unemployment than areas with male biased sex ratios. any idea ...
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1answer
60 views

Why would overemployment mean that labor is used inefficiently?

If labor is being used efficiently, there is no excess unemployment or over employment. This phrase from Khan Academy struck me as quite strange. Why on Earth would over employment mean that labor ...
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1answer
40 views

Difference between unemployment rate between ILO and bureau of labor statistics

Why there are differences between the unemployment rate of the US between the data of the bureau of labor statistics and the ILO (international labor organization). Have they different definitions of ...
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1answer
25 views

Can you recursively forecast one variable using two variables?

My question is probably very elementary but I haven't been able to find an explanation of recursive forecasting that I fully understand. I've read a journal article that seemed to recursively ...
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1answer
244 views

Limitation of Unemployment rate

What is the rationale behind government not including discouraged workers who have given up looking for jobs out of frustration given the state of economy? This under-reports the job market and at ...
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0answers
18 views

Are there any net benefits in reducing/increasing tourist-oriented retail business?

Hong Kong is currently experiencing a slump in foreign tourist-oriented retail sales. Shops selling jewellery, watches, infant formula or Chinese medicine experienced a 25-35% decline YoY in August. ...
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0answers
23 views

Economic Achilles' heels of global financial economy

The latest attacks on oil production in Saudi-Arabia highlights the need for risk managers to follow up on possible terrorist targets that can have a global impact on the global financial economy, ...
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1answer
50 views

Define structural unemployment

I am a bit confused regarding the actual definition of structural unemployment. Some places say that it is the permanent decline of a particular industry, leading to workers being unemployed as they ...
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1answer
56 views

In April 2019 our economy created 263000 new jobs, however, total employment went down from March to April by103000 jobs. Why this difference?

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/employed-persons This link shows that total employment declined from March to April even though we added 263000 new jobs. Can someone explain why?
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1answer
87 views

What is low unemployment and low gdp growth symptomatic of?

Obviously there are caveats with GDP, if you build a bridge to nowhere it counts as GDP, but if you mow your own lawn or volunteer to pick up garbage it doesn't count, and so forth and so on. However, ...
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1answer
28 views

Has there been an applications of search and matching theory in the Neoclassical Growth Model?

Specifically, I am looking for the standard neoclassical growth model, but the labour decision is based on either search or matching theory instead of a Walrasian labour mechanism.
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1answer
94 views

Search and matching model: effect of hiring cost on wage curve

What effect does the hiring cost have on the wage bargaining outcome (wage curve)? In Cahuc, Carcillo, and Zylberberg: Labor Economics, they derive the following wage curve: $$w = z + (y-z) \frac{\...