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Can the current rise in joblessness in the US be caused by the AI replacement?

Currently there are big concerns regarding possible recession in the USA maily based on growth of joblessness and reductions in payrolls. At the same time, other indicators do not show any economic ...
Anixx's user avatar
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1 answer
34 views

Relationship between drop in inflation rate vs. increase in unemployment rate (and vice versa)

I've read that inflation has historically had an inverse relationship with unemployment. This means that when inflation rises, unemployment drops. Higher unemployment, on the other hand, equates to ...
HelloDarkWorld's user avatar
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16 views

Putative Value of Niche Units of Measure (Natural Gas)

In the State of Connecticut (for example, this happens elsewhere as well) Natural Gas is denominated in Cubic Feet (ccf, actually, which is Hundred Cubic Feet). The US EIA also reports natural gas ...
William Walker III's user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
75 views

Why aren't more cities privately owned by a single company

There is a city in Southern California called Irvine, perhaps one of the only few "private" cities in the US. That doesn't mean it doesn't have an elected body or government. It's still ...
ARJ's user avatar
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1 answer
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Delinquency rate on student loans in the United States

Why is the delinquency rate (90 days+) on student loans at an all time low in the United States (as illustrated in the last Household debt and credit report of the New York Fed). For most borrowers, ...
Stradam's user avatar
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0 answers
59 views

Why is almond butter so much more expensive than peanut butter?

Why is almond butter so much more expensive than peanut butter? At least this is true in the 🇺🇸, where I've seen almond butter 2× as expensive.
Geremia's user avatar
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3 votes
1 answer
31 views

Why do states regulate home insurance rates?

With increasing damages and volatility, home insurance companies increasingly withdraw from entire states, including former low-risk states like Iowa. I was puzzled by this at first: The normal ...
Peter - Reinstate Monica's user avatar
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0 answers
7 views

Where can I find latest data of Foreign holdings of US Treasuries?

This seems to be the official website, but data is old. https://ticdata.treasury.gov/Publish/mfh.txt Is there one that is updated monthly?
Mocas's user avatar
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2 answers
1k views

What happens to the British pound if the dollar collapses?

Hypothetically, if the dollar's value collapsed either over night or a fast down hill crash, what would happens to the value of the British pound?
Mocas's user avatar
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0 answers
9 views

Can a Federal District Bank be negative in SOMA shares after interdistrict settlement?

I looked at publications examining whether the FED interdistrict settlement could apply to the Target-2 system. While most of my questions were answered, I am still left with one big issue I could not ...
Max's user avatar
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1 answer
105 views

US population growth: "natural increase" vs "fertility rate"

Based on the 2017 US Census population projections through 2060, specifically table 1 (Projected population size and births, deaths, and migration), the "natural increase," which is US ...
causative's user avatar
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167 views

Does the American Dream have any economic meaning?

If you watch enough American TV, you inevitably see something like this: A comedian who originally came from another country (let's say India, although it could be almost any country) is being ...
SlowMagic's user avatar
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1 answer
163 views

Why do all filled bids receive the same rate, which is the rate of the lowest filled bid, during the US Treasury auction process?

This question pertains to the US Treasury auction process. {1} states: Treasury auctions are designed to minimize the cost of financing the national debt by promoting broad, competitive bidding and ...
Franck Dernoncourt's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
72 views

How can there be a "lack" of workers? The Vanishing American Worker

I don't understand the current economic situation. The savings rate is at a long-time low. Something like 30% of Americans failed to pay mortgage or rent in June, inflation is signficantly increasing ...
Lassie Fair's user avatar
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5 votes
1 answer
149 views

Why is the Chinese stock market weak while its economy is strong?

China's economy has had a decent growth rate even post-2008 however, the stock market indices appear to be weak and stuck at more or less the same level since long time as shown below for Shanghai, ...
Kutsit's user avatar
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United States - Is it the case that cost-push inflation is debunked?

While cost-push inflation makes intuitive sense for explaining the inflation uptrend in recent years: disruptions to the supply chain and volatile energy markets lead companies to pass on price hikes ...
Arash Howaida's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
1k views

What would happen if China were to suddenly stop all trade with the US?

What would happen if China were to suddenly stop all trade with the US (for political reasons)? Have any respectable economists made any predictions about the consequences of such a move for the ...
MWB's user avatar
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5 votes
3 answers
1k views

In US, was there an instance in the history when two consecutive quarters of GDP decline wasn't classified as recession?

This topic has been a bit politicized. The common perception that two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth counts as a recession is a myth. There is actually a committee that determines whether ...
Taylor Fang's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
26 views

Survey of Consumer Finances - What counts as a family?

I am looking at the Federal Reserves survey of consumer finances. I am wondering what counts as a family? For example, would a single person living alone count as a family? What about an adult son ...
Bob's user avatar
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2 votes
1 answer
127 views

Are High Inflation Rates In Foreign Countries Unrelated to High Inflation Rates In The United States?

This recent question on politics.se is asking about the cause of high inflation in the United States. One of the statements made in the question is: ...since many countries are also experiencing high ...
Zibbobz's user avatar
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1 vote
2 answers
66 views

How can employment be up but production is down?

I don't really understand current macro economics. There is definite scarcity. Production of practically every major commodity and common durable goods is down. This is causing prices to increase, as ...
Lassie Fair's user avatar
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3 votes
1 answer
62 views

Does high inflation in the UK and US have the same cause?

UK inflation has risen to 7%, the highest rate it has been for 30 years, and could reach 10% by the end of the year. But also The consumer price Index, which averages prices across America, rose by 8....
byteful's user avatar
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2 votes
0 answers
70 views

Effect of green energy on petro dollar system

US economy in part related to petrodollar system where all oil from Saudi to be traded in US dollars there by creating demand for dollars. What happens to this system and its impacts when world ...
Pushparaj's user avatar
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0 votes
1 answer
137 views

Why there was inflation before Nixon shock in august 1971 in the US?

As far as I know before August 1971 the US dollar and gold were convertable. Means that every US dollar was backed by some fix amount of gold in the US treasury or central bank (I don't know exactly). ...
Amir reza Riahi's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
97 views

Eurodollars - the real reason for the "Greenspan conundrum?"

While the jury seems to still be out on a similar question I posed earlier: Why did Greenspan think rate hikes would increase treasury term premiums?, I have recently begun entertaining an entirely ...
Arash Howaida's user avatar
1 vote
2 answers
107 views

Why does a company need to pay 90% of its income as dividends to qualify as a REIT?

I came across this page on Investopedia that says that according to the US tax code, to qualify as a REIT, a company must pay a minimum of 90% of taxable income in the form of shareholder dividends ...
Itamar Mushkin's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
297 views

Did Biden's stimulus packages cause inflation in the US?

Can we state with high confidence that Biden's stimulus packages were indeed a major factor in the spiraling (or, at least, pretty high) inflation in the US? Did Biden go over the top with it after ...
Sergey Zolotarev's user avatar
1 vote
2 answers
491 views

How leveraged are banks in the United States?

My understanding of fractional-reserve lending is that it allows for banks to only keep a small fraction of raw currency in reserve, and lend out the rest. When this lent out money is put into banks, ...
David Callanan's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
143 views

List of private investors who own the most US debt

At this website (document `Federal debt', table FD-5) I see that more than 16 trillion dollars of US debt is owned by private investors. Is there a list available of the private investors who own the ...
Riemann's user avatar
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5 votes
1 answer
215 views

A large spike in home ownership in the U.S. in 2020: why?

Noah Smith's blog post "Yes, most Americans own capital" states A majority of American households — consistently a little less than 2/3 — are homeowners: and follows that up with a figure: ...
Richard Hardy's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
37 views

Are there an official divide of regions for economic data in united states?

When I was viewing economic data charts for US, I see these 8 different divisions:- 1) 2) 3) BEA regions: which contains: Far West: Alaska, California, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, Washington. Great ...
huab's user avatar
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1 answer
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What would the theoretical ramifications of a mass sell-off of United States bonds be?

If a sovereign nation or nations were to sell off large amounts (say 30%) of United States bonds, what effects would it have on the United States' economy and debt situation? I am guessing that a mass ...
guest1111's user avatar
-1 votes
1 answer
54 views

Can economic models predict China overtaking the United States?

I recently read an article about China's economic progress: Chinese economy to overtake US 'by 2028' due to Covid Can models and simulations based on economic data predict when China's economy will ...
IvettsRonco's user avatar
0 votes
2 answers
311 views

What percentage of utils do the top 1% pay in tax

A commonly cited statistic in American politics is the top 1% of Americans earn 20% of all income, but may 40% of all income taxes. This is measured in dollars, however, and a dollar is worth more to ...
Keshav Srinivasan's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
50 views

Why West Virginia is one of the least-vaccinated states in the country due to cash giveaway announcement?

In a newspaper, I saw the paragraph In some U.S. states that held lotteries for vaccine recipients, with some prizes reaching the million-dollar mark, leaders reported upticks in interest, but it’s ...
Phil Nguyen's user avatar
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1 vote
0 answers
41 views

Are there any state-level data on US banking regulation stringency?

In Barth, Caprio, and Levine (2008) Rethinking bank regulation: Till angels govern. Cambridge University Press, authors assemble and showcase large dataset on stringency of banking regulation and ...
1muflon1's user avatar
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3 votes
1 answer
44 views

Where can I find resources that show the median or mean effective taxation on households in the United States divided into percentiles?

I am looking for a resource similar to this website that shows the mean effective federal taxation on households in different percentiles broken down into percentiles (and even shows historical data ...
MrMineHeads's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
86 views

Have the deregulation measures that caused the 2007-2008 crisis been rolled back?

The 2007-2008 financial crisis was largely attributed to several deregulation measures, especially the Gramm-Leach-Bliley act. Have any of these measures been rolled back after the crisis, or new ones ...
MWB's user avatar
  • 584
43 votes
3 answers
9k views

Why is healthcare so expensive in the USA?

I find this phenomenon to be kind of puzzling. USA is one of the countries with one of the highest purchasing powers in the world, yet when it comes to healthcare an standard US citizen is likely to ...
user2638180's user avatar
0 votes
2 answers
90 views

What is the purpose of taxes if central banks can fund deficit spending?

Somewhat straight forward. If the federal reserve can print money to buy treasuries to fund deficit spending, what is the purpose of taxes? Sure, taxes reduce the amount of deficit that needs to be ...
Runeaway3's user avatar
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1 vote
1 answer
123 views

Why is the Social Security tax split midway between employer and employee?

On page 99 of Hidden Order, David Friedman writes: Social Security taxes are paid half by the employer and half by the worker. How would the effect of the tax change if it were collected entirely ...
Ray Bradbury's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
140 views

Does Russia have higher inflation than US and Canada? If so, why in this particular case does money supply increase doesn't lead to higher prices? [duplicate]

My understanding is that Russian inflation in recent years is considered to be running in the 5-6 % range, while US and Canada - in the 2-3% range (as measured by price increases/CPI). But I'd expect ...
Joe's user avatar
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-1 votes
1 answer
32 views

What was the annual real growth rate in the US from 2010 to 2015?

If we look at the US M0 money supply after the global financial crisis (GFC): we see that it doubled from 2010 to 2015. If we look at the Consumer Price Index in the same period: it rose by 8%. So ...
Andy's user avatar
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4 votes
2 answers
365 views

Is modern monetary theory sustainable?

I am looking around at a lot of the central banks around the world (primarily ECB, Fed, and BOJ) and they all seem to be simply printing their way out of any issues with their economies. As far as I ...
Runeaway3's user avatar
  • 191
3 votes
1 answer
109 views

Can inflation show up in assets without necessarily being reflected in classic inflation indexes?

I have been having an argument with a friend of mine who obtained an economics degree in college. I have been arguing that increased money supply from the fed has led to inflation in asset prices, ...
Runeaway3's user avatar
  • 191
4 votes
1 answer
99 views

What was the US monetary policy like in the 70s?

Today the US inflation target is roughly 2%. However in 1974 the inflation rate was 11% and in 1980 it was 13.5%. What monetary policy did they follow at that time that allowed the inflation to rise ...
Andy's user avatar
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0 votes
0 answers
19 views

Has the loan of securities from a retail investor to a well-established US broker ever resulted in a financial loss to the retail investor?

Retail investors may opt to loan some of the shares to their brokers: In theory, one of the risks is that the broker and the collateral may have some issue, leaving the retail investor with a ...
Franck Dernoncourt's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
22 views

Does the SEC have the list or definition of indexes that an ETF is allowed to track to be classified as an Index-Based ETF?

The SEC Investor Bulletin on Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) (mirror) divides ETFs into two classes: Index-Based ETFs and Actively Managed ETFs. As its name indicates, index-Based ETFs track some indexes....
Franck Dernoncourt's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
216 views

Values of A,K,N,a in Cobb-Douglas function expressing GDP

In many basic macroeconomics textbooks a Cobb-Douglas production function with constant returns to scale is used to express the output of the economy as a function of labor and capital: $Y=AK^aN^{1-a}$...
Giampiero's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
60 views

Why is the Fed worried about short term interest rates going negative?

I refer to the following article: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-02-25/negative-interest-rates-could-be-trouble-unless-fed-acts, notably the following paragraph: Market observers ...
Kyoma's user avatar
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