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3
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204 views

Systematic measurement error in explanatory variable

In the classical errors-in-variables problem, we are looking at the effect of $x^*_i$ on $y$, but $x^*_i$ is misreported. We have observations $x_i = x^*_i +u_i$, where $u_i$ has zero mean mean, ...
3
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0answers
174 views

SAS: How to do ARIMA procedure with structural break?

So it seems like my data has a structural break in it, using Box-Jenkins methodology and evaluation such as ADF test wont give appropriate forecasts/results if I do not correct for the structural ...
3
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0answers
54 views

Exponential Moving Average smoothing factor

I learn best my reading about a concept and then trying to implement it using math and a programming language. Right now, I'm trying to implement an Exponential Moving Average indicator, but I'm ...
3
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0answers
284 views

Can the social planner problem be reduced to a Pareto problem or a Walrasian equilibrium problem?

The social planner problem is \begin{align} \max_{\lbrace x_i,y_i,x_j,y_j \rbrace } &\theta_i U_i(x_i,y_i) +\theta_j U_i(x_j,y_j) \\ & \text{s.t.}\\ &x_i+x_j = \omega_i^x + \omega_j^x\\ &...
3
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0answers
61 views

Competitive Equilibrium in Securities Market: First Welfare Theorem

I'm working through Kerry Back's "Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice Theory" book. Trying to work through the proof of the First Welfare Theorem in the context of securities markets on page 58. Back ...
3
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0answers
75 views

Why is poverty worse in larger cities?

In inner cities in the US there is more poverty (as a proportion of the population) than in mid-sized cities or small towns. Do we have a definitive answer as to why this is?
3
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0answers
29 views

Using US foreign tax policy to offset a raise in interest rates

I am an amateur economist at best, more a person with an economic BS looking to explore data science (I will be using python). I have a theory that I want opinion on that will allow the Fed to raise ...
3
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0answers
80 views

Currency Peg or Currency Substitution/Dollarize?

Why would a sovereign state choose an exchange rate peg over the demonetization of the local currency, replaced by hard currency? In the case of the West and Central African CFA Francs, France has an ...
3
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0answers
202 views

Forecast of ARMA-GARCH model in R

I managed to forecast a GARCH model yesterday and run a Monte Carlo simulation on R. Nevertheless, I can't do the same with an ARMA-GARCH. I tested 4 different method but without achieving an ARMA-...
3
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0answers
38 views

Any serious macro models for Greece's possible default or eurozone exit?

Since each news outlet says something about Greece these days, I wonder what serious economic research backs decisions made over the last seven years? The IMF papers on austerity, both early ones and ...
3
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0answers
112 views

Appropriate economic/econometric tools to analyze segmented promotion optimization problem

I'm trying to determine which micro-economic/econometrics concepts, models, and/or tools are appropriate for an analysis of promotions. Below I Describe the problem in general terms Give ...
3
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0answers
65 views

Converging Trajectories and Sufficiency for Optimality

(The question is loosely relatet to this thread.) In the paper "Feedback Equilibria for a class of non-linear Differential Games" by Mäler et al. it is stated (p. 14) In fact sufficiency is ...
3
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0answers
208 views

Estimation technique: Independent variable (taxation) unknown

I am trying to estimate $\lambda$ from this equation: $(1+ t_t) = \left(\dfrac{C_t}{Y_t}\right)^{\frac{1-\lambda}{\lambda}}$ After taking logs and approximations, I get: $t_t \approx \left( \frac{1-...
3
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0answers
1k views

How do I convert real gdp into chained-dollar real GDP?

I have quarterly data for real GDP from 1981-2015. I also have quarterly chained-dollar real GDP from 61-2012. I need to have them converted into one series. I've looked up several different formulas ...
3
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0answers
126 views

Proof of Proposition 1.4 from Microfoundations I by Kreps

Regardless of the size of X (set of all possible objects), if a preference relation which is complete and transitive is defined on it, then the corresponding choice function generated by it will ...
3
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0answers
107 views

Difference-in-Difference on State Sales Tax Rates

In an attempt to evaluate a potential U.S. National Sales tax rate, it was suggested on this forum before that I consider a difference-in-difference on state sales tax rates before and after they ...
3
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0answers
60 views

Optimisation of bonds

I'm doing an optimisation problem but don't understand what the terms mean. Suppose someone wants to invest $110,000. They have 4 choices as to what they invest their money into: municipal bond ...
3
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0answers
95 views

Solving this system of ODE

I have the following system of equations $$ \rho V(u, \epsilon^i) = F(u, \epsilon^i) + V_u(u, \epsilon^i)g(u, V(u, \epsilon^i) + \lambda^i \left(V(u, \epsilon^{-i}) - V(u, \epsilon^i)\right)$$ with $...
3
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0answers
127 views

Ultrafilters in Social Choice Theory Literature Request

I am an undergraduate math major who is intrigued about social choice theory. I am in the early stages of planning my senior project and was wondering if anybody had some recommendations of literature ...
3
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0answers
115 views

Equal Payment Series

The question is: A man is planning to retire in 20 years. Money can be deposited at 8%, compounded monthly. It is estimated that the future general inflation rate will be 3% compounded annually. What ...
3
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0answers
187 views

Production in the long run - calculating wage and rental elasticity of demand

I have data for a business firm for two periods. The data include: output (Q), capital (K), labor (L), wage (W) and the rental rate of capital (R). Here they are: ...
3
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0answers
161 views

Optimal commodity taxation - solving for the optimal tax rates?

I need to solve for optimal tax rates for two products. In my model there are N identical households that maximize their utility function subject to a budget ...
3
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0answers
144 views

Kolmogorov-Forward-Equation with Entry and Exit

I'll try to ask this question in the most simplistic environment possible, so lets think about a household that can consume and save. After some cumbersome work, we have solved for the optimal savings ...
3
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0answers
117 views

Wold Decomposition and autocorrelations of AR

Is it possible to retrieve Autocorrelations ( value or any other info) up to a certain lag for an AR(2) stationary model using the Wold decomposition? Example: $$X_t=0.32X_{t-1}+0.51X_{t-2}+ \...
3
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0answers
39 views

Real time data map about the amount of a currency that are held in the world ?

Where can I see in real time data about the amount of a currency that is held in central banks (and maybe other significant places) ? A map would be great. I would like to know if there is an ...
3
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0answers
41 views

Research on the link of QE and increased economic activity

Im looking for good literature of quantitative easing and the effects on economic actitivty. from a modelling perspective Any empirical research? What I am thinking of, is how much of an effect ...
3
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0answers
95 views

Europe not self-sufficient in terms of food requirements and consumption?

An acquaintance once told me that Europe is not self-sufficient in terms of food consumption as it does not have enough farmland and farmers to produce enough for all its people, especially in terms ...
3
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0answers
119 views

Applying the Martingale central limit theorem to the score process of an autoregressive model

This question is a natural continuation of the following question: How do I construct the score process of a Markov model and verify that it is a Martingale? In this problem, we set up as follows: ...
3
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0answers
102 views

Differences between LATE and Heckman Selection

I have heard that a paper by Heckman and Vytlacil demonstrate comparisons between nonparametric Heckman selection (NP Heckit) and the LATE (local average treatment effect) framework. Could someone ...
3
votes
1answer
2k views

GNI versus GNP for Measuring Development

In the calculation of the Human Development Index, Gross National Income (GNI) is used rather than GNP. I've searched around on the internet, but I haven't found a clear explanation of what the ...
3
votes
1answer
94 views

If the economy is not always on the Price setting curve, can the Central Bank target unemployment?

In the usual textbook model, in which there's imperfect competition, the economy is always on the Price-Setting(PS) curve, and to have a target unemployment level, above equilibrium unemployment, will ...
3
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2answers
1k views

How does reverse repo rate affect money supply?

What is the impact of increase/ decrease of reverse repo rate on Monetary Base, Money multiplier and therefore, overall money supply?
3
votes
1answer
101 views

Can be the duality theorem applied to not locally non-satiated utility functions?

I have the following not locally non-satiated utility function: $$U(x,y)=-(x-1)^2-(y-2)^2$$ where $U(x,y): \, \!R^n_+ \rightarrow \!R $ The 3D plot of this function is an infinite paraboloid; ...
3
votes
1answer
99 views

Ordinal axiomatization of proportional division

A proportional division is a kind of fair division in which a resource is divided among $n$ partners with subjective valuations, and each partner receives a share which is worth for him at least $1/n$ ...
3
votes
3answers
607 views

Is the labor force participation rate related more to labour supply or to labour demand? Or both?

I have read several Labor Economics books, but I am stuck. Is the labor force participation rate related more to the labour supply or to the labour demand? If the labor force participation rate ...
3
votes
1answer
115 views

Why are people rich?

Different people become rich for different reasons, such as: Developing/selling a great product Investing Winning the lottery Inheriting family money Some of these seem more fair than others, which ...
2
votes
1answer
26 views

Difference between unemployment rate between ILO and bureau of labor statistics

Why there are differences between the unemployment rate of the US between the data of the bureau of labor statistics and the ILO (international labor organization). Have they different definitions of ...
2
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0answers
12 views

Economics of Health Textbook Recommendation

Was wondering if anyone who has taught a class on health economics could give some background on which textbook they used for their class and why. It seems like "Healthy Economics" by Bhattacharya, ...
2
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0answers
19 views

Linking creeping inflation to industrial revolution

The russian wiki on price revolution says Ползучая инфляция стала тем стимулом, который привёл в конечном итоге к промышленной революции, which translates to in the end result, the creeping inflation ...
2
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0answers
25 views

Software used for solving demands of different functions

I'm currently doing some research on demand systems and have been experimenting with different underlying utility functions which will generate different systems of demands. However I've been doing ...
2
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0answers
25 views

Why would expanding fiat paper issue lead to decreased exports?

I'm reading "A History of Money and Banking in the United States" by Murray Rothbard, and I'm having trouble understanding this one piece of history. Basically, the Massachusetts government issues ...
2
votes
0answers
27 views

First order condition of the sequence problem

Consider the standard permanent income model: $$\max_{\{c_t\}_{t=0}^\infty, \{b_{t+1}\}_{t=0}^\infty} \mathbb{E}_0 \left\{ \sum_{t=0}^\infty \beta^t u(c_t)\right\}$$ s.t. $$c_t + b_t = R^{-1} b_{t+1} +...
2
votes
0answers
41 views

What's the advantage of DSGE relative to BVARs?

DSGE models and BVARs are commonly used in academia and policy circles. They generate different performances (e.g., in forecasting) and perhaps serve different purposes. Notwithstanding, they have a ...
2
votes
1answer
50 views

Signaling in zero-sum games?

The foundation of this question is a bit vague (based on something overheard at a conference) but I'm hoping someone here can provide some clarification. I overheard a conversation between two ...
2
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0answers
46 views

Neoclassical Economic Growth Model Shadow Price for Discrete vs Continuous Time

I recently learned about the neoclassical growth model in both discrete and continuous time. The intuitive meaning of the shadow price for both cases is that it represents the value of one additional ...
2
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0answers
15 views

What is the privilege of a primary dealer?

Primary dealers have a privileged position, so there is value in being registered as a primary dealer. - https://economics.stackexchange.com/a/13450/8387 I was previously under the assumption that ...
2
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0answers
19 views

Is there a widely accepted definition of “asset [price] inflation”?

A bit of googling found some conflicting ones... Capel and Houben (BIS) Asset inflation occurs when the prices of financial assets are rising even though they are already above their intrinsic or ...
2
votes
2answers
84 views

Calculating the amount paid for a loan in today's dollars

So I was trying to figure out the amount paid for a loan in today's dollars using two different methods but they give me different results. I was hoping that someone could explain which method is ...
2
votes
0answers
21 views

Going from DRMs to Indirect Mechanisms

I have recently started studying mechanism design (after having taken a basic graduate micro course) through Borgers' 'Introduction to the theory of mechanism design'. I was wondering if people are ...
2
votes
0answers
42 views

Simulating a simple economy with … price-makers? arriving at competitive equilibrium

I'm new to economics and thinking about graduate study. My background is mathematics. I started reading a book on microeconomics by Mas-Colell, Whinston and Green. My goal is to understand how ...

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