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Different proponents of efficient market hypothesis (EMH) will have different explanations because EMH does not say which fundamentals/variables should drive prices. EMH just states that prices reflect avaiable information but it does not say which avaiable information is important and which isn't. There are actually several versions of efficient market ...


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There are economists who argue that market for organs would be efficient and would improve the allocation of cadavers saving lives. There also good arguments for them leading to Pareto improvements although you should note that market does not necessary have to be strictly pareto-optimal for it to be desirable. Often in public economics it is enough to show ...


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If I understand your question correctly, you would like to know what future 1y yields will be like. These are called forward rates. Because of the nature of the question and the fact that there are many ways to do forecast government yields, I'll focus on to key approaches, which are sometimes combined. For these reason the answer is only a sketch. 1) (...


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Yes you can forecast them in a various different ways. I don't think it is possible to make full literature review in a single SE post, so I will just give some examples. You can simply use random walk: $$y_t = y_{t-1} + \epsilon_t$$ you would be surprised how far you can actually get with this silly little model (and in fact this is what EMH would suggest ...


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The abstract of EVIDENCE FOR AND AGAINST THE VALIDITY OF EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESIS by Milјan Leković: The concept of an efficient financial market, in literature known as efficient market hypothesis (EMH), has had a long and difficult development path from the idea itself to its final conception, as one of the central paradigms in modern finance. It has ...


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Elastic boycotting would imply that the number of consumers boycotting would increase by more than 1% when unethicalness increases by 1%. A proper answer is nigh-on-impossible, as it is difficult to measure these things quantitatively. How do you measure unethicalness? Also, unethical according to whom? I think most will aggree that slave labor is unethical,...


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